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Araripina vs Jaguar

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Pernambucano 2 2014
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2014 game between Araripina and Jaguar finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Araripina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Araripina
6%
Draws
4%
Jaguar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Araripina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jaguar come out ahead of Araripina on wins alone.
  • Araripina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Araripina here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Araripina Clean Sheet 20%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araripina Jaguar
Matches Played 32 45
Wins 12 14
Draws 14 12
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Araripina vs Jaguar
3:0
Aug 23, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Araripina
2:2
Oct 17, 2013 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Araripina
0:1
Oct 8, 2013 Pernambucano 2
Araripina vs Jaguar
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araripina 85 / 100
Jaguar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araripina Jaguar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araripina found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Jaguar conceded in 73% of 45 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Araripina has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jaguar
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Araripina

(Home)
18 Oct
Araripina
0 : 1
Afogados da Ingazeira
14 Oct
Petrolina
2 : 3
Araripina
11 Oct
Belo Jardim
2 : 2
Araripina
07 Oct
Araripina
2 : 2
Belo Jardim
04 Oct
Araripina
4 : 1
Petrolina
Page 1 of 7

Jaguar

(Away)
31 Jan
Jaguar
1 : 2
Maguary
28 Jan
Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Jaguar
25 Jan
Retro
1 : 1
Jaguar
22 Jan
Jaguar
0 : 4
Nautico
17 Jan
Decisao
2 : 0
Jaguar
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belo Jardim1063124:721
2Altinho FC1054117:719
3Jaguar1043316:1515
4Araripina1036118:1215
5Ibis Sport Club1021710:197
6Ferroviario do Cabo1003715:403
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vera Cruz1063122:821
2Timbauba FC1045113:1017
3Atletico PE1035211:914
4Afogados da Ingazeira1035214:1314
5Olinda FC1023515:189
6Centro Limoeirense101185:224
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2014 (Play Offs)