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Araripina vs Serrano PE

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Pernambucano 2 2013
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2013 game between Araripina and Serrano PE finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Araripina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Araripina
6%
Draws
4%
Serrano PE
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Araripina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Araripina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Araripina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Araripina have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Araripina Clean Sheet 20%
Serrano PE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araripina Serrano PE
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 12 3
Draws 14 7
Losses 6 23
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2015 Pernambucano 2
Araripina vs Serrano PE
1:0
Sep 2, 2015 Pernambucano 2
Serrano PE vs Araripina
0:2
Sep 11, 2013 Pernambucano 2
Serrano PE vs Araripina
1:2
Aug 25, 2013 Pernambucano 2
Araripina vs Serrano PE
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araripina 85 / 100
Serrano PE 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araripina Serrano PE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serrano PE let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Araripina found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Araripina has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Serrano PE
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Araripina

(Home)
18 Oct
Araripina
0 : 1
Afogados da Ingazeira
14 Oct
Petrolina
2 : 3
Araripina
11 Oct
Belo Jardim
2 : 2
Araripina
07 Oct
Araripina
2 : 2
Belo Jardim
04 Oct
Araripina
4 : 1
Petrolina
Page 1 of 7

Serrano PE

(Away)
25 Nov
Serrano PE
1 : 2
Aguia FC
18 Nov
Cabense
4 : 0
Serrano PE
05 Nov
Serrano PE
0 : 2
Ypiranga
28 Oct
Ipojuca
0 : 1
Serrano PE
22 Oct
Serrano PE
1 : 1
Barreiros FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araripina860222:718
2Altinho FC850317:915
3Sete de Setembro (PE)84229:814
4Serrano PE82156:147
5Flamengo Arcoverde81167:234
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2013 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Timbauba FC861114:519
2Centro Limoeirense850310:615
3Vera Cruz83419:713
4Academica Vitoria81346:96
5Cabense80266:182
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2013 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olinda FC843116:815
2Ibis Sport Club843110:615
3Jaguar831417:1410
4America PE83059:159
5Ferroviario do Cabo821511:207
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2013 (Second stage)