Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Araucaria vs Rio Branco PR

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Kuss Araujo H. d. S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Araucaria
15%
Draws
26%
Rio Branco PR
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Araucaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Araucaria lately — more wins on the board than Rio Branco PR.
  • Model gives Araucaria a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Araucaria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Araucaria, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Araucaria have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Araucaria Clean Sheet 14%
Rio Branco PR Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araucaria Rio Branco PR
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Paranaense 2
Araucaria vs Rio Branco PR
1:0
May 3, 2026 Paranaense 2
Rio Branco PR vs Araucaria
2:5
Mar 29, 2026 Paranaense 2
Araucaria vs Rio Branco PR
6:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Araucaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuss Araujo H. d. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Rio Branco PR Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araucaria 66 / 100
Rio Branco PR 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araucaria Rio Branco PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araucaria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.67 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Araucaria scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Rio Branco PR let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Araucaria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araucaria VS Rio Branco PR
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Araucaria

(Home)
23 May
Parana
2 : 1
Araucaria
17 May
Araucaria
0 : 2
Parana
11 May
Araucaria
1 : 0
Rio Branco PR
03 May
Rio Branco PR
2 : 5
Araucaria
25 Apr
Batel
0 : 1
Araucaria
Page 1 of 6

Rio Branco PR

(Away)
11 May
Araucaria
1 : 0
Rio Branco PR
03 May
Rio Branco PR
2 : 5
Araucaria
25 Apr
Rio Branco PR
3 : 1
Prudentopolis
19 Apr
Toledo
0 : 0
Rio Branco PR
11 Apr
Patriotas
3 : 1
Rio Branco PR
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Parana 8
Toledo 1
Araucaria 6
Rio Branco PR 2
Patriotas 1
Nacional PR 0
Laranja Mecanica 1
Paranavai-PR 2
Semi-finals
Parana 4
Araucaria 1
Patriotas 2
Paranavai-PR 3
Final
Parana 1
Paranavai-PR 2