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Araucaria vs Rio Branco PR - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Daniel Oliveira
Own Goal
28' Event
Henrique G.
36' Event
Henrique G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paranaense 2 matchup, with the score ending 6-6.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Araucaria
15%
Draws
26%
Rio Branco PR
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Araucaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Rio Branco PR haven't matched Araucaria's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Araucaria taking it.
  • Regular Paranaense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Araucaria here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Araucaria Clean Sheet 68%
Rio Branco PR Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araucaria Rio Branco PR
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Paranaense 2
Araucaria vs Rio Branco PR
1:0
May 3, 2026 Paranaense 2
Rio Branco PR vs Araucaria
2:5
Mar 29, 2026 Paranaense 2
Araucaria vs Rio Branco PR
6:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Araucaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique G.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Flavio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Rio Branco PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Augusto F. d. S. d. S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bismarck
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araucaria 77 / 100
Rio Branco PR 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araucaria Rio Branco PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araucaria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.67 goals.

Araucaria's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Rio Branco PR let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Araucaria has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Araucaria VS Rio Branco PR
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Araucaria

(Home)
23 May
Parana
2 : 1
Araucaria
17 May
Araucaria
0 : 2
Parana
11 May
Araucaria
1 : 0
Rio Branco PR
03 May
Rio Branco PR
2 : 5
Araucaria
25 Apr
Batel
0 : 1
Araucaria
Page 1 of 6

Rio Branco PR

(Away)
11 May
Araucaria
1 : 0
Rio Branco PR
03 May
Rio Branco PR
2 : 5
Araucaria
25 Apr
Rio Branco PR
3 : 1
Prudentopolis
19 Apr
Toledo
0 : 0
Rio Branco PR
11 Apr
Patriotas
3 : 1
Rio Branco PR
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parana 9 7 2 0 14:3 23
2 Patriotas 9 6 1 2 16:9 19
3 Laranja Mecanica 9 4 2 3 7:9 14
4 Araucaria 9 3 3 3 13:14 12
5 Rio Branco PR 9 2 5 2 16:14 11
6 Paranavai-PR 9 3 1 5 10:11 10
7 Nacional PR 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
8 Toledo 9 2 4 3 6:10 10
9 Batel 9 2 3 4 10:10 9
10 Prudentopolis 9 1 1 7 4:13 4
Promotion - Paranaense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 3 2027 (Main)