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Aravaca CF vs Canillas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Rodriguez Garcia J.
14' Event
Martinez P.
43' Event
Martin A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 game between Aravaca CF and Canillas finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canillas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Aravaca CF
15%
Draws
0%
Canillas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aravaca CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aravaca CF come out ahead of Canillas on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Aravaca CF taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Aravaca CF Clean Sheet 68%
Canillas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aravaca CF Canillas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.33 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.67 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Aravaca CF vs Canillas
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs Aravaca CF
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aravaca CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Canillas Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grutzmann I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aravaca CF 95 / 100
Canillas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aravaca CF Canillas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aravaca CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Canillas conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Canillas lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Aravaca CF found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aravaca CF VS Canillas
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aravaca CF

(Home)
11 May
Carabanchel
1 : 0
Aravaca CF
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1
El Alamo
26 Apr
Collado Villalba
4 : 2
Aravaca CF
17 Apr
Aravaca CF
1 : 0
Galapagar
13 Apr
Trival Valderas
2 : 1
Aravaca CF
Page 1 of 6

Canillas

(Away)
11 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Canillas
04 May
Canillas
2 : 5
RSD Alcala
27 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
3 : 2
Canillas
17 Apr
Canillas
0 : 3
Leganes B
12 Apr
Tres Cantos
3 : 0
Canillas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RSD Alcala 34 23 6 5 68:32 75
2 Rayo Vallecano B 34 18 7 9 71:52 61
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 7 10 55:48 58
4 Villaverde San Andres 34 14 12 8 52:37 54
5 Galapagar 34 14 12 8 45:41 54
6 CD Las Rozas 34 15 9 10 45:42 54
7 Collado Villalba 34 14 10 10 44:36 52
8 Leganes B 34 13 12 9 58:38 51
9 Alcorcon B 34 13 8 13 55:50 47
10 Trival Valderas 34 12 10 12 47:47 46
11 Tres Cantos 34 12 9 13 43:44 45
12 Mexico 34 11 9 14 35:49 42
13 Carabanchel 34 10 12 12 30:29 42
14 Parla 34 10 8 16 38:58 38
15 Cala Pozuelo 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
16 Aravaca CF 34 9 8 17 42:52 35
17 Canillas 34 5 8 21 36:68 23
18 El Alamo 34 5 7 22 29:61 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)