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Araxa vs Araguari

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
Araxa Logo

Araxa

3 - 0
FT
Araguari Logo

Araguari

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2021 game between Araxa and Araguari finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Araxa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Araxa
20%
Draws
0%
Araguari
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Araxa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Araxa come out ahead of Araguari on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Araxa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Araxa Clean Sheet 20%
Araguari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araxa Araguari
Matches Played 20 16
Wins 9 0
Draws 6 2
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.35 0.19
Goals Conceded 0.8 3.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2024 Mineiro 3
Araguari vs Araxa
0:0
Sep 18, 2024 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Araguari
0:0
Oct 16, 2021 Mineiro 3
Araguari vs Araxa
1:5
Sep 25, 2021 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Araguari
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araxa 85 / 100
Araguari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araxa Araguari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araxa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguari let in goals in 94% of their last 16 matches.

Difficult form: Araguari registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Araxa found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (20 games).

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Araxa VS Araguari
0 Goals Scored 0.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Araxa

(Home)
18 Sept
Sao Joao del Rei
2 : 0
Araxa
07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1
Mamore
14 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1
Araxa
08 Oct
Araxa
1 : 0
Pirapora
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Araguari

(Away)
19 Oct
Paracatu
5 : 0
Araguari
12 Oct
Araguari
0 : 7
Essube
05 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
4 : 0
Araguari
28 Sept
Uberaba
2 : 1
Araguari
21 Sept
Araguari
0 : 6
Uberaba
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarritense 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
2 Varginha 8 4 2 2 18:13 14
3 Pocos de Caldas 8 3 5 0 14:5 14
4 Tres Coracoes 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Figueirense Esporte Clube 8 0 1 7 6:19 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 8 5 1 2 25:7 16
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
3 Patrocinense 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
4 Inter de Minas 8 2 5 1 7:6 11
5 Araguari 8 0 2 6 2:30 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Manchester Futebol 8 4 2 2 10:5 14
3 Contagem 8 4 1 3 8:5 13
4 Boston City 8 4 1 3 11:7 13
5 Betis 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)