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Araxa vs EC Itauna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2009
Araxa Logo

Araxa

0 - 0
FT
EC Itauna Logo

EC Itauna

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Mineiro 2 2009 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Araxa
20%
Draws
40%
EC Itauna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Araxa have won more games recently than EC Itauna.
  • Win probability leans Araxa's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Campeonato Mineiro 2 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Araxa Clean Sheet 20%
EC Itauna Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araxa EC Itauna
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 11
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.16 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2009 Mineiro 2
EC Itauna vs Araxa
3:1
Mar 5, 2009 Mineiro 2
Araxa vs EC Itauna
0:0
Apr 30, 2008 Mineiro 2
Araxa vs EC Itauna
1:1
Mar 16, 2008 Mineiro 2
EC Itauna vs Araxa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araxa 76 / 100
EC Itauna 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araxa EC Itauna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araxa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: EC Itauna conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Araxa scored in 74% of their last 19 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

EC Itauna lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araxa VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Araxa

(Home)
03 Oct
Siderurgica
0 : 3
Araxa
26 Sept
Araxa
1 : 2
Paracatu
18 Sept
Sao Joao del Rei
2 : 0
Araxa
07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1
Mamore
Page 1 of 4

EC Itauna

(Away)
20 Mar
EC Itauna
2 : 2
Tombense
16 Mar
Nacional MG
7 : 3
EC Itauna
13 Mar
Formiga EC
3 : 1
EC Itauna
11 Mar
EC Itauna
3 : 1
Tricordiano
05 Mar
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
EC Itauna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipatinga 22 13 4 5 43:31 43
2 Caldense 22 12 7 3 43:19 43
3 America TO 22 12 3 7 40:30 39
4 Funorte EC 22 8 7 7 39:33 31
5 Formiga EC 22 9 3 10 25:28 30
6 Araxa 22 7 9 6 30:31 30
7 Valeriodoce 22 8 5 9 28:29 29
8 URT 22 7 5 10 23:37 26
9 Pocos de Caldas 22 6 7 9 28:34 25
10 EC Itauna 22 5 10 7 26:29 25
11 Democrata SL 22 6 4 12 29:36 22
12 Ideal FC 22 4 6 12 24:41 18
Promotion - Campeonato Mineiro 2010 (Main)