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Araxa vs Funorte EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araxa host Funorte EC in the Mineiro 3. This has Araxa written all over it on paper. Araxa have averaged 1.38 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against Funorte EC's 0.93 scored and 2.31 conceded. Past meetings favor Araxa slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 31, 2012, ending 5:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 0.32, favoring Araxa. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Araxa
20%
Draws
40%
Funorte EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Funorte EC haven't matched Araxa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Araxa a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Araxa Clean Sheet 20%
Funorte EC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araxa Funorte EC
Matches Played 21 29
Wins 9 2
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 1.38 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2012 Mineiro 2
Araxa vs Funorte EC
5:1
Mar 3, 2012 Mineiro 2
Funorte EC vs Araxa
0:2
Mar 27, 2010 Mineiro 2
Funorte EC vs Araxa
1:0
Feb 20, 2010 Mineiro 2
Araxa vs Funorte EC
2:2
Apr 1, 2009 Mineiro 2
Araxa vs Funorte EC
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araxa 76 / 100
Funorte EC 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araxa Funorte EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araxa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Funorte EC let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Araxa scored in 76% of their last 21 games.

Funorte EC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Araxa VS Funorte EC
0.25 Goals Scored 0.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Araxa

(Home)
03 Oct
Siderurgica
0 : 3
Araxa
26 Sept
Araxa
1 : 2
Paracatu
18 Sept
Sao Joao del Rei
2 : 0
Araxa
07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1
Mamore
Page 1 of 5

Funorte EC

(Away)
03 Oct
Paracatu
3 : 0
Funorte EC
26 Sept
Funorte EC
1 : 0
Sao Joao del Rei
19 Sept
Betim FC 2
3 : 0
Funorte EC
14 Apr
Patrocinense
2 : 1
Funorte EC
07 Apr
Funorte EC
2 : 2
Uberlandia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional de Muriae 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Venda Nova FC 3 2 1 0 10:1 7
3 Novo Esporte 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
4 Inter de Minas 3 1 0 2 8:4 3
5 Nova Lavras 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
6 Santarritense 3 0 0 3 1:18 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paracatu 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Betim FC 2 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
3 Sao Joao del Rei 3 1 0 2 2:2 3
4 Funorte EC 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
5 Araxa 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
6 Siderurgica 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)