Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Araxa vs Social

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araxa in this Campeonato Mineiro 2 2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araxa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Araxa
30%
Draws
23%
Social
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Araxa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Araxa have won more games recently than Social.
  • Araxa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Araxa Clean Sheet 20%
Social Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araxa Social
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.16 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.53 0.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2015 Mineiro 2
Araxa vs Social
1:0
Apr 4, 2015 Mineiro 2
Social vs Araxa
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araxa 85 / 100
Social 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araxa Social

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araxa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Araxa found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (19 games).

Social has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Social's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Araxa VS Social
0 Goals Scored 0.43
0 Goals Conceded 1.86
0% Over 1.5 71%
0% Over 2.5 14%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Araxa

(Home)
03 Oct
Siderurgica
0 : 3
Araxa
26 Sept
Araxa
1 : 2
Paracatu
18 Sept
Sao Joao del Rei
2 : 0
Araxa
07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1
Mamore
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Social

(Away)
19 Oct
America TO
2 : 0
Social
05 Oct
Social
0 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
02 Oct
Contagem
1 : 1
Social
29 Sept
Social
0 : 0
Boston City
22 Sept
Social
0 : 1
America TO
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