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Araz PFK vs Imisli FK Prediction & H2H Stats

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2025/2026 SOCAR Polymer Arena, Sumqayit
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sub
Diogo Rollo In: Tahirov M.
Out: Diogo Rollo
18' Event
Cardoso D.
59'
Sub
Boli C. In: Keyta H.
Out: Boli C.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Araz PFK and Imisli FK finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Imisli FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Araz PFK
15%
Draws
64%
Imisli FK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Imisli FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Araz PFK come out ahead of Imisli FK on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Araz PFK Clean Sheet 22%
Imisli FK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araz PFK Imisli FK
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 5 11
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.07 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Premier League
Araz PFK vs Imisli FK
0:0
May 2, 2026 Premier League
Araz PFK vs Imisli FK
0:1
Jan 23, 2026 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Araz PFK
2:2
Oct 3, 2025 Premier League
Araz PFK vs Imisli FK
2:0
Feb 14, 2023 I Liqa
Araz PFK vs Imisli FK
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Araz PFK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Imisli FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardoso D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araz PFK 37 / 100
Imisli FK 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araz PFK Imisli FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imisli FK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Araz PFK scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Imisli FK let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Imisli FK registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araz PFK VS Imisli FK
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Araz PFK

(Home)
20 Sept
Shamakhi
2 : 1
Araz PFK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 2
Araz PFK
31 Aug
Araz PFK
0 : 1
Sabah Baku
23 Aug
Neftci Baku
5 : 0
Araz PFK
Page 1 of 6

Imisli FK

(Away)
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
11 Sept
Imisli FK
2 : 3
Neftci Baku
04 Sept
Gabala
2 : 1
Imisli FK
29 Aug
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Imisli FK
22 Aug
Zira FK
3 : 1
Imisli FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah Baku 33 24 6 3 75:25 78
2 Qarabag Agdam 33 21 6 6 71:27 69
3 Turan 33 17 8 8 44:27 59
4 Neftci Baku 33 16 11 6 57:32 59
5 Zira FK 33 13 14 6 43:36 53
6 Araz PFK 33 13 7 13 44:58 46
7 SumQayit FK 33 12 5 16 45:49 41
8 Shamakhi 33 9 11 13 31:40 38
9 Imisli FK 33 7 13 13 23:43 34
10 Kapaz 33 8 3 22 25:61 27
11 Gabala 33 7 6 20 32:49 27
12 Karvan 33 3 6 24 23:66 15
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - I Liqa (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)