Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Araz PFK vs Turan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Shamakhi City Stadium, Shamakhi
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Hackman E.
Own Goal
26'
Mara M.
46'
Sub
Sadykhov R. In: Wadji I.
Out: Sadykhov R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Araz PFK
35%
Draws
52%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Araz PFK haven't matched Turan's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Turan a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Araz PFK Clean Sheet 18%
Turan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araz PFK Turan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.1 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.86 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Premier League
Araz PFK vs Turan
2:2
Apr 17, 2026 Premier League
Araz PFK vs Turan
0:3
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Araz PFK vs Turan
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Premier League
Turan vs Araz PFK
1:2
Apr 18, 2025 Premier League
Araz PFK vs Turan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Araz PFK Compare

Top Goalscorer Salyanskiy A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Wadji I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jo Batista
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araz PFK 15 / 100
Turan 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araz PFK Turan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araz PFK found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Turan conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Araz PFK has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Araz PFK VS Turan
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Araz PFK

(Home)
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 2
Araz PFK
31 Aug
Araz PFK
0 : 1
Sabah Baku
23 Aug
Neftci Baku
5 : 0
Araz PFK
15 Aug
Araz PFK
0 : 0
Imisli FK
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Turan

(Away)
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
23 Aug
Turan
0 : 0
Shamakhi
14 Aug
Turan
1 : 0
Gabala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah Baku 4 4 0 0 11:0 12
2 Neftci Baku 5 4 0 1 15:5 12
3 Qarabag Agdam 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
4 Zira FK 5 3 1 1 7:7 10
5 Turan 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
6 Kapaz 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
7 Shamakhi 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
8 Gabala 5 1 1 3 2:4 4
9 Imisli FK 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
10 Safa Baku 5 1 0 4 2:10 3
11 Araz PFK 5 0 2 3 4:11 2
12 SumQayit FK 4 0 1 3 3:7 1
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)