Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023

Araz PFK

3 - 0

Zira FK 2

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

De Saboa L.

61'

Aliyev O.

86'

Karimzada F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between Araz PFK and Zira FK 2 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Araz PFK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Araz PFK

20%

Draws

38%

Zira FK 2

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Araz PFK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Araz PFK come out ahead of Zira FK 2 on wins alone.
42% — that's where the model lands on Araz PFK taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Araz PFK Clean Sheet 16%

Zira FK 2 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Araz PFK	Zira FK 2
Matches Played	44	32
Wins	21	7
Draws	8	10
Losses	15	15
Goals Scored	1.38	0
Goals Conceded	1.88	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2023 I Liqa

Araz PFK vs Zira FK 2

3:0

Oct 5, 2022 I Liqa

Zira FK 2 vs Araz PFK

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Araz PFK Compare

Top Goalscorer De Saboa L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Aliyev O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Zira FK 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araz PFK 41 / 100

Zira FK 2 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Araz PFK Zira FK 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Araz PFK scored in 82% of their last 44 outings.

Zira FK 2 let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Araz PFK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Araz PFK VS -

1.38 Goals Scored 0

1.88 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Araz PFK

(Home)

23 May

Araz PFK

3 : 2

Zira FK

15 May

Araz PFK

2 : 0

Kapaz

09 May

SumQayit FK

2 : 1

Araz PFK

02 May

Araz PFK

0 : 1

Imisli FK

25 Apr

Gabala

1 : 1

Araz PFK

Page 1 of 9

Zira FK 2

(Away)

23 May

Zira FK 2

2 : 2

Shamakhi 2

18 May

Imisli FK

1 : 1

Zira FK 2

13 May

Zira FK 2

0 : 2

Qarabag Agdam 2

03 May

Zaqatala PFK

3 : 0

Zira FK 2

26 Apr

Zira FK 2

1 : 1

Neftci Baku 2

Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Araz PFK	28	22	3	3	69:22	69
2	Neftci Baku 2	28	18	5	5	67:32	59
3	Turan 2	28	15	3	10	49:37	48
4	Sabail 2	28	13	5	10	46:44	44
5	Gabala 2	28	12	8	8	45:28	44
6	Zaqatala PFK	28	13	5	10	49:48	44
7	Kapaz 2	28	13	4	11	41:36	43
8	MOIK Baku	28	12	7	9	43:42	43
9	Lokbatan	28	12	5	11	30:23	41
10	Shamakhi 2	28	11	4	13	40:56	37
11	Qarabag Agdam 2	28	9	4	15	32:39	31
12	Zira FK 2	28	6	10	12	28:41	28
13	SumQayit FK 2	28	6	4	18	36:60	22
14	Mingachevir	28	5	5	18	29:51	20
15	Imisli FK	28	6	2	20	21:66	20

Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)