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Araz PFK vs Zira FK 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
De Saboa L.
61' Event
Aliyev O.
86' Event
Karimzada F.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between Araz PFK and Zira FK 2 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Araz PFK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Araz PFK
35%
Draws
49%
Zira FK 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zira FK 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Araz PFK come out ahead of Zira FK 2 on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Zira FK 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Araz PFK Clean Sheet 15%
Zira FK 2 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araz PFK Zira FK 2
Matches Played 45 34
Wins 21 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.64 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2023 I Liqa
Araz PFK vs Zira FK 2
3:0
Oct 5, 2022 I Liqa
Zira FK 2 vs Araz PFK
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Araz PFK Compare

Top Goalscorer De Saboa L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aliyev O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Zira FK 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araz PFK 23 / 100
Zira FK 2 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araz PFK Zira FK 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zira FK 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zira FK 2 has conceded goals in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Araz PFK scored in 78% of their last 45 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Araz PFK remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Araz PFK VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Araz PFK

(Home)
20 Sept
Shamakhi
2 : 1
Araz PFK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 2
Araz PFK
31 Aug
Araz PFK
0 : 1
Sabah Baku
23 Aug
Neftci Baku
5 : 0
Araz PFK
Page 1 of 9

Zira FK 2

(Away)
23 May
Zira FK 2
2 : 2
Shamakhi 2
18 May
Imisli FK
1 : 1
Zira FK 2
13 May
Zira FK 2
0 : 2
Qarabag Agdam 2
03 May
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Zira FK 2
26 Apr
Zira FK 2
1 : 1
Neftci Baku 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)