Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Sibomana P.
16'
16'
Habtamu A.
43'
43'
Bedru A.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Arba Menche and Ethio Electric S.C. finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ethio Electric S.C..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ethio Electric S.C.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Arba Menche haven't matched Ethio Electric S.C.'s recent run of results.
- Model gives Ethio Electric S.C. a 46% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Arba Menche Clean Sheet 22%
Ethio Electric S.C. Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arba Menche | Ethio Electric S.C. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 12 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 4, 2026 Premier League
Arba Menche vs Ethio Electric S.C.
1:4
Oct 28, 2025 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Arba Menche
3:1
Apr 5, 2025 Premier League
Arba Menche vs Ethio Electric S.C.
2:0
Feb 10, 2025 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Arba Menche
2:1
May 27, 2023 Premier League
Arba Menche vs Ethio Electric S.C.
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arba Menche Compare
Top Goalscorer Bogale Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Ethio Electric S.C. Compare
Top Goalscorer Habtamu A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sibomana P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arba Menche 29 / 100
Ethio Electric S.C. 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arba Menche Ethio Electric S.C.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ethio Electric S.C. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Defensive concern: Ethio Electric S.C. conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Arba Menche scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Arba Menche went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arba Menche VS Ethio Electric S.C.
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Arba Menche
(Home) 01 Jul
Dire Dawa
2 : 1 Arba Menche
26 Jun
Arba Menche
0 : 1 Welwalo Adigrat
22 Jun
Fasil Kenema
2 : 0 Arba Menche
15 Jun
Arba Menche
2 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
28 May
Mechal SC
1 : 2 Arba Menche
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
Arba Menche
0 : 1 Welwalo Adigrat
15 Jun
Arba Menche
2 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
21 May
Arba Menche
0 : 3 Sidama Bunna
10 May
Arba Menche
2 : 3 Welayta Dicha
30 Apr
Arba Menche
0 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Page 1 of 4
Ethio Electric S.C.
(Away) 05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
22 Jun
Welayta Dicha
1 : 2 Ethio Electric S.C.
16 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
30 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
22 Jun
Welayta Dicha
1 : 2 Ethio Electric S.C.
30 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
16 May
Welwalo Adigrat
2 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
05 May
Shire Endaselassie
1 : 0 Ethio Electric S.C.
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
