Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arba Menche vs Shire Endaselassie

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Abdul Rahaman M.
66'
Abdul Rahaman M.
90' Event
Benti T.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Arba Menche and Shire Endaselassie finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arba Menche.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Arba Menche
17%
Draws
13%
Shire Endaselassie
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Arba Menche

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arba Menche come out ahead of Shire Endaselassie on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Arba Menche taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Arba Menche Clean Sheet 68%
Shire Endaselassie Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arba Menche Shire Endaselassie
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 10 12
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2026 Premier League
Arba Menche vs Shire Endaselassie
2:0
Jan 21, 2026 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Arba Menche
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
Arba Menche vs Shire Endaselassie
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Arba Menche
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arba Menche Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdul Rahaman M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benti T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Shire Endaselassie Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arba Menche 77 / 100
Shire Endaselassie 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arba Menche Shire Endaselassie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shire Endaselassie conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Arba Menche scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Arba Menche went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arba Menche VS Shire Endaselassie
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635