Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Tafesse M.
40'
40'
Tafesse M.
78'
78'
Ephrem T.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Arba Menche and Sidama Bunna finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sidama Bunna.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sidama Bunna
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sidama Bunna carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Sidama Bunna a 46% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Arba Menche Clean Sheet 17%
Sidama Bunna Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arba Menche | Sidama Bunna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 21, 2026 Premier League
Arba Menche vs Sidama Bunna
0:3
Jan 8, 2026 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Arba Menche
0:0
Jun 16, 2025 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Arba Menche
0:0
Jan 3, 2025 Premier League
Arba Menche vs Sidama Bunna
0:1
Jun 1, 2023 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Arba Menche
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arba Menche Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Sidama Bunna Compare
Top Goalscorer Tafesse M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arba Menche 28 / 100
Sidama Bunna 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arba Menche Sidama Bunna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sidama Bunna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arba Menche's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Sidama Bunna has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Arba Menche went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arba Menche VS Sidama Bunna
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Arba Menche
(Home) 01 Jul
Dire Dawa
2 : 1 Arba Menche
26 Jun
Arba Menche
0 : 1 Welwalo Adigrat
22 Jun
Fasil Kenema
2 : 0 Arba Menche
15 Jun
Arba Menche
2 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
28 May
Mechal SC
1 : 2 Arba Menche
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
Arba Menche
0 : 1 Welwalo Adigrat
15 Jun
Arba Menche
2 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
21 May
Arba Menche
0 : 3 Sidama Bunna
10 May
Arba Menche
2 : 3 Welayta Dicha
30 Apr
Arba Menche
0 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Page 1 of 4
Sidama Bunna
(Away) 13 Sept
Sidama Bunna
3 : 0 Aiglons
05 Sept
Aiglons
0 : 0 Sidama Bunna
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2 Welwalo Adigrat
05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
28 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 1 Sidama Bunna
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Aiglons
0 : 0 Sidama Bunna
28 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 1 Sidama Bunna
14 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1 : 2 Sidama Bunna
21 May
Arba Menche
0 : 3 Sidama Bunna
10 May
Sheger Ketema FC
1 : 0 Sidama Bunna
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
