Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Fitsumi T.
36'
36'
Teshome T.
42'
42'
Philip J.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Arba Menche and St. Georges finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Georges
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and St. Georges come out ahead of Arba Menche on wins alone.
- St. Georges are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Arba Menche Clean Sheet 23%
St. Georges Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arba Menche | St. Georges |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 12 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2026 Premier League
Arba Menche vs St. Georges
2:2
Dec 2, 2025 Premier League
St. Georges vs Arba Menche
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 Premier League
Arba Menche vs St. Georges
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Premier League
St. Georges vs Arba Menche
1:0
Apr 26, 2023 Premier League
Arba Menche vs St. Georges
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arba Menche Compare
Top Goalscorer Philip J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Seck M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
St. Georges Compare
Top Goalscorer Fitsumi T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Teshome T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arba Menche 10 / 100
St. Georges 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arba Menche St. Georges
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Georges Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: St. Georges conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Arba Menche scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Arba Menche went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arba Menche VS St. Georges
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Arba Menche
(Home) 01 Jul
Dire Dawa
2 : 1 Arba Menche
26 Jun
Arba Menche
0 : 1 Welwalo Adigrat
22 Jun
Fasil Kenema
2 : 0 Arba Menche
15 Jun
Arba Menche
2 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
28 May
Mechal SC
1 : 2 Arba Menche
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
Arba Menche
0 : 1 Welwalo Adigrat
15 Jun
Arba Menche
2 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
21 May
Arba Menche
0 : 3 Sidama Bunna
10 May
Arba Menche
2 : 3 Welayta Dicha
30 Apr
Arba Menche
0 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Page 1 of 4
St. Georges
(Away) 02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 St. Georges
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0 Fasil Kenema
22 Jun
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 0 St. Georges
14 Jun
St. Georges
3 : 0 Mechal SC
28 May
Dire Dawa
1 : 2 St. Georges
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 St. Georges
22 Jun
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 0 St. Georges
28 May
Dire Dawa
1 : 2 St. Georges
14 May
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 St. Georges
05 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 0 St. Georges
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
