Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arba vs WA Mostaganem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Abdelbasset B.
51' Event
Lekehal B.
71'
Abderezak D.

AI Match Summary

Arba in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Arba
20%
Draws
50%
WA Mostaganem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: WA Mostaganem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Arba have won more games recently than WA Mostaganem.
  • 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Arba Clean Sheet 16%
WA Mostaganem Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arba WA Mostaganem
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.87 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2026 Ligue 2
Arba vs WA Mostaganem
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Ligue 2
Arba vs WA Mostaganem
2:2
Oct 31, 2025 Ligue 2
WA Mostaganem vs Arba
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Ligue 2
WA Mostaganem vs Arba
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Ligue 2
Arba vs WA Mostaganem
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arba Compare

Top Goalscorer Lekehal B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tellab L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

WA Mostaganem Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdelbasset B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arba 36 / 100
WA Mostaganem 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arba WA Mostaganem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WA Mostaganem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

WA Mostaganem has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Arba found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Arba remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arba VS WA Mostaganem
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arba

(Home)
19 Oct
Arba
2 : 1
WA Mostaganem
15 Oct
Harrach
3 : 1
Arba
26 Sept
Arba
0 : 3
Kolea
19 Sept
GC Mascara
3 : 0
Arba
09 May
JS El Biar
4 : 1
Arba
Page 1 of 6

WA Mostaganem

(Away)
19 Oct
Arba
2 : 1
WA Mostaganem
14 Oct
WA Mostaganem
0 : 0
RC Kouba
09 Oct
Taghit
1 : 1
WA Mostaganem
03 Oct
WA Mostaganem
3 : 1
JSM Tiaret
26 Sept
ASM Oran
3 : 1
WA Mostaganem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MSP Batna 6 4 2 0 7:3 14
2 Azazga 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
3 Annaba 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
4 MO Constantine 6 2 4 0 5:3 10
5 Magra 6 3 1 2 5:6 10
6 Skikda 5 3 0 2 6:4 9
7 Khroub 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
8 Beni Oulbane 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
9 US Chaouia 6 2 2 2 3:5 8
10 MO Bejaia 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
11 Paradou 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
12 CA Batna 6 1 3 2 3:4 6
13 Telaghema 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
14 IRB Nezla 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
15 Beni Thour 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
16 JS Djijel 5 0 1 4 1:7 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USM Blida 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
2 RC Kouba 6 4 2 0 11:1 14
3 GC Mascara 6 4 2 0 8:1 14
4 Saida 5 4 1 0 7:3 13
5 ASM Oran 6 3 1 2 10:4 10
6 Harrach 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
7 Mostaganem 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
8 Sidi Benali 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
9 WA Mostaganem 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
10 Hussein Dey 6 2 0 4 7:9 6
11 Kolea 6 2 0 4 7:10 6
12 JSM Tiaret 6 1 1 4 9:8 4
13 Tlemcen 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
14 Arba 4 1 0 3 3:10 3
15 El Bayadh 6 0 2 4 1:7 2
16 Taghit 6 0 1 5 2:19 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)