Sport Picks

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Arbaer vs Fram

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2024
Arbaer Logo

Arbaer

0 - 3
FT
Fram Logo

Fram

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Ingason A.
Assist: Sigurdsson F.
27'
Runolfsson A.
45'
Sigurjonsson O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Fram advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Arbaer
15%
Draws
53%
Fram
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fram

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fram come out ahead of Arbaer on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fram's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Fram arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fram, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42.400000000000006%
Arbaer Clean Sheet 10%
Fram Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arbaer Fram
Matches Played 15 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 0 5
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2 2.66
Goals Conceded 3 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2024 Icelandic Cup
Arbaer vs Fram
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arbaer Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Fram Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingason A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arbaer 10 / 100
Fram 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arbaer Fram

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fram Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arbaer scored in 87% of their last 15 games.

Defensive concern: Fram conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Arbaer went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fram
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Arbaer

(Home)
05 Apr
Arbaer
1 : 7
Aegir
28 Mar
Lettir
3 : 5
Arbaer
19 Mar
Arbaer
1 : 0
Hafnir
16 Jul
Arbaer
3 : 4
Kormakur/Hvot
04 Apr
Kari
8 : 1
Arbaer
Page 1 of 3

Fram

(Away)
24 Aug
Breidablik
3 : 4
Fram
17 Aug
Fram
3 : 1
Stjarnan
10 Aug
Fram
2 : 5
KR Reykjavik
01 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 2
Fram
26 Jul
Fram
0 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Alafoss 0
KFG Gardabaer 6
Hamar 2
Hviti 5
TBD -
Grindavik -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFR 4
KFK Kopavogur 8
Vidir 2
Sindri 1
Spyrnir 0
Hottur / Huginn 5
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Vaengirs 6
Hordur Isafjordur 2
TBD -
Throttur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KH Hlidarendi 5
Reynir 1
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Selfoss -
Stokkseyri -
Kari 5
IBU 0
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
KFA -
Augnablik 7
Alftanes 1
SR Reykjavik 2
Kormakur/Hvot 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stjarnan -
Throttur Vogar 1
KA Asvellir 3
Midas 1
RB Keflavik 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 3
KFS 0
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
Skallagrimur 1
Aegir 3
Haukar 20
Afrika Reykjavik 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vestri -
Arborg 12
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Smari 2
Arbaer 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fram -
Lettir 2
IH Hafnarfjordur 7
Ymir 11
Thorlakur 0
Hafnir 12
KM Reykjavik 0
Kria 1
Ulfarnir 2
Ellidi 0
Olafsvik 3
TBD -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tindastoll 7
Samherjar 0
TBD -
Magni -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Dalvik/Reynir -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd -
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/32-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5
KFG Gardabaer 1
Hviti 0
Grindavik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
KFK Kopavogur 0
Vidir 3
Hottur / Huginn 2
Volsungur 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
Vaengirs 1
Throttur 7
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KH Hlidarendi 2
Fjolnir 4
Selfoss 3
Kari 1
Grotta 3
Njardvik 2
Thor Akureyri 5
KFA 1
Augnablik 5
Kormakur/Hvot 2
TBD -
Stjarnan -
KA Asvellir 6
RB Keflavik 3
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 1
IR Reykjavik 7
Aegir 2
Haukar 3
TBD -
Vestri -
Arborg 1
Arbaer 2
TBD -
Fram -
IH Hafnarfjordur 5
Ymir 4
Hafnir 3
Ulfarnir 0
Olafsvik 2
Keflavik 3
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
Tindastoll 2
Magni 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Afturelding 4
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Fjallabyggd 0
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/16-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Grindavik 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Vidir 1
Hottur / Huginn 0
Fylkir 1
Throttur 1
Kopavogur 2
Fjolnir 4
Selfoss 2
Grotta 0
Thor Akureyri 3
Augnablik 1
Stjarnan 2
KA Asvellir 2
KR Reykjavik 9
KA Akureyri 2
IR Reykjavik 1
Haukar 2
Vestri 4
Arbaer 0
Fram 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 4
Hafnir 2
Keflavik 2
Breidablik 1
Akranes 3
Tindastoll 0
Afturelding 4
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Valur 3
Hafnarfjordur 0
1/8-finals
Grindavik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 3
Kopavogur 1
Fjolnir 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Stjarnan 5
KR Reykjavik 3
KA Akureyri 3
Vestri 1
Fram 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Keflavik 3
Akranes 1
Afturelding 1
Valur 3
Quarter-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Fylkir 1
Thor Akureyri 0
Stjarnan 1
KA Akureyri 3
Fram 0
Keflavik 3
Valur 4
Semi-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 1
KA Akureyri 3
Valur 2
Final
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
KA Akureyri 2