Sport Picks

Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2024

Fram

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arbaer play Fram in the Icelandic Cup 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arbaer averaged 2 goals scored and 3 conceded. Fram averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, Arbaer won 0, Fram won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2024 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.35 for Arbaer and 3.23 for Fram. This points to a Fram double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Arbaer

16%

Draws

45%

Fram

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Fram

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Arbaer picked up more points recently compared to Fram.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.35 vs 3.23 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 93%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 47%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76%

Arbaer Clean Sheet 10%

Fram Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 84%

Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arbaer	Fram
Matches Played	15	30
Wins	8	14
Draws	0	7
Losses	7	9
Goals Scored	2	2.4
Goals Conceded	3	1.9
Expected Goals (xG)	2.33	3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.33	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2024 Icelandic Cup

Arbaer vs Fram

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arbaer Compare

Avg xG / game 1.79

Avg xA / game 1.17

Fram Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingason A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.85

Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arbaer 37 / 100

Fram 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arbaer Fram

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fram or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.4%

1.39

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arbaer attacking → ← attacking Fram

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arbaer scored in 87% of their last 15 games.

Fram let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Arbaer went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Fram lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 49

2.33 Goals expected (xG) 3.13

3.33 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38