Sport Picks
Match Events
70'
70'
Gudjonsson E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arbaer
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Hafnir haven't matched Arbaer's recent run of results.
- Hafnir are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Arbaer have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Arbaer, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Arbaer Clean Sheet 10%
Hafnir Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arbaer | Hafnir |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 15 | 8 |
| Wins | 8 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 3 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.45 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 19, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Arbaer vs Hafnir
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arbaer Compare
Top Goalscorer Gudjonsson E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.23
Hafnir Compare
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arbaer 10 / 100
Hafnir 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arbaer Hafnir
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hafnir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arbaer found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (15 games).
Hafnir let in goals in 75% of their last 8 matches.
Hafnir's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Arbaer VS Hafnir
1.75 Goals Scored 3
2 Goals Conceded 3.14
100% Over 1.5 86%
88% Over 2.5 86%
50% Over 3.5 71%
Recent Form & Match History
Arbaer
(Home) 05 Apr
Arbaer
1 : 7 Aegir
28 Mar
Lettir
3 : 5 Arbaer
19 Mar
Arbaer
1 : 0 Hafnir
16 Jul
Arbaer
3 : 4 Kormakur/Hvot
04 Apr
Kari
8 : 1 Arbaer
Page 1 of 3
05 Apr
Arbaer
1 : 7 Aegir
19 Mar
Arbaer
1 : 0 Hafnir
16 Jul
Arbaer
3 : 4 Kormakur/Hvot
29 Mar
Arbaer
4 : 1 Thorlakur
17 Jul
Arbaer
3 : 2 Olafsvik
Page 1 of 2
Hafnir
(Away) 19 Mar
Arbaer
1 : 0 Hafnir
05 Apr
Throttur
7 : 0 Hafnir
28 Mar
Ymir
3 : 4 Hafnir
25 Apr
IH Hafnarfjordur
4 : 2 Hafnir
12 Apr
Hafnir
3 : 0 Ulfarnir
Page 1 of 2
19 Mar
Arbaer
1 : 0 Hafnir
05 Apr
Throttur
7 : 0 Hafnir
28 Mar
Ymir
3 : 4 Hafnir
25 Apr
IH Hafnarfjordur
4 : 2 Hafnir
31 Mar
KFG Gardabaer
7 : 0 Hafnir
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
Einherji 2
Neisti 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 7
Stokkseyri 3
Arbaer 1
Hafnir 0
Aegir -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 1
Reynir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur -
TBD -
Olafsvik 3
Arborg 2
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
Kormakur/Hvot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 2
Haukar 3
KFR -
IH Hafnarfjordur -
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Ellidi 9
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Alafoss 1
Fjolnir 4
KFG Gardabaer 2
Vidir 3
Kopavogur -
TBD -
BF 108 5
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 5
KB Breidholt 0
Spyrnir -
Sindri -
TBD -
KFA -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 2
Smari 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 4
Hamar 2
Alftanes 5
Kria 2
SR Reykjavik 2
Kari 8
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Ymir 7
Falkar 0
KFS -
Thorlakur -
Tindastoll 3
Fjallabyggd 1
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Magni 3
Njardvik -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 1
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 0
Selfoss 3
IBU 1
Augnablik 12
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/32-finals
Hottur / Huginn 5
Neisti 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 3
Arbaer 5
Aegir 2
Reynir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Throttur 3
Olafsvik 1
Volsungur 2
Kormakur/Hvot 3
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 3
KFR 0
Ellidi 0
Grindavik 2
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fjolnir 2
Vidir 1
Kopavogur 4
BF 108 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir 6
KV Reykjavik 0
Sindri 0
KFA 1
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
Smari 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 1
Alftanes 5
Kari 1
IR Reykjavik 2
Afturelding 3
Ymir 10
KFS 0
Tindastoll 3
Magni 1
Njardvik 5
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Selfoss 7
Augnablik 1
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/16-finals
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 5
Arbaer 1
Aegir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 3
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Breidablik 6
Akranes 4
Haukar 0
Grindavik 2
Keflavik 1
Fjolnir 3
Kopavogur 4
Fram 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 2
KFA 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Hafnarfjordur 4
Vestri 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Grotta 1
Alftanes 0
Afturelding 6
Ymir 1
Tindastoll 0
Njardvik 1
Stjarnan 2
Selfoss 1
KR Reykjavik 4
Valur 2
1/8-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Aegir 2
Throttur 1
Breidablik 2
Akranes 3
Grindavik 2
Kopavogur 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 5
Hafnarfjordur 0
Vestri 0
Grotta 4
Afturelding 5
Njardvik 2
Stjarnan 2
KR Reykjavik 1
Quarter-finals
Aegir 0
Breidablik 3
Akranes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 4
Grotta 2
Afturelding 3
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Fylkir 1
Afturelding 2
Final
Breidablik -
Afturelding -
