Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arborg vs Augnablik

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Kristjansson H.
68' Event
Arnarsson A.
77' Event
Hakonarson S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Augnablik advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Arborg
15%
Draws
57%
Augnablik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Augnablik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Augnablik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Arborg a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Augnablik arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Augnablik, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Augnablik here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Arborg Clean Sheet 10%
Augnablik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arborg Augnablik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 1 0
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.83 3.63
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2025 Icelandic Cup
Arborg vs Augnablik
0:4
Jun 7, 2020 Icelandic Cup
Arborg vs Augnablik
1:0
Apr 13, 2019 Icelandic Cup
Augnablik vs Arborg
8:1
Apr 30, 2016 Icelandic Cup
Augnablik vs Arborg
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arborg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Augnablik Compare

Top Goalscorer Kristjansson H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arnarsson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arborg 40 / 100
Augnablik 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arborg Augnablik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Arborg found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Augnablik conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Augnablik registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arborg VS Augnablik
2.13 Goals Scored 3
2 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Arborg

(Home)
22 Mar
Olafsvik
3 : 2
Arborg
28 Mar
Arborg
0 : 4
Augnablik
13 Apr
Arborg
1 : 2
Arbaer
06 Apr
Arborg
12 : 0
Reynir Hellissandur
19 Jul
Arborg
0 : 1
IH Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6

Augnablik

(Away)
27 Mar
Selfoss
7 : 1
Augnablik
22 Mar
Augnablik
12 : 1
IBU
11 Apr
Augnablik
0 : 5
IR Reykjavik
28 Mar
Arborg
0 : 4
Augnablik
06 Aug
Augnablik
1 : 3
KFA
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 1
KA Asvellir 2
SR Reykjavik 2
KFR 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
KFG Gardabaer 2
Reynir 3
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Fjallabyggd 3
Tindastoll 5
Volsungur 4
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Throttur -
TBD -
Ymir 3
Hafnir 4
Kari 7
KFS 1
Arbaer 4
Thorlakur 1
Aegir 2
KV Reykjavik 3
TBD -
Fylkir -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik -
TBD -
BF 108 8
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar -
Kria 2
Lettir 1
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Olafsvik -
TBD -
Smari 4
Falkar 0
Hamar 1
Skallagrimur 3
Ulfarnir 3
Stokkseyri 0
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alafoss 3
RB Keflavik 4
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
TBD -
IBU 0
Hviti 6
IH Hafnarfjordur 4
KH Hlidarendi 1
TBD -
Selfoss -
KFK Kopavogur 1
Ellidi 5
Alftanes 0
Haukar 3
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Magni 4
Kormakur/Hvot 2
Arborg 0
Augnablik 4
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
Grotta -
TBD -
Vidir 2
Hordur Isafjordur 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Afturelding -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Einherji 0
Sindri 2
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFA -
TBD -
Spyrnir 5
Neisti 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/32-finals
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 3
KFR 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Reynir 0
Grindavik 5
TBD -
Valur -
Tindastoll 1
Volsungur 2
Throttur 7
Hafnir 0
Kari 8
Arbaer 1
KV Reykjavik 1
Fylkir 6
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Njardvik 5
BF 108 0
Keflavik 6
Throttur Vogar 0
Kria 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 5
Olafsvik 5
Smari 1
Skallagrimur 1
Ulfarnir 2
Breidablik -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 0
Fjolnir 4
Vestri -
TBD -
Kopavogur 4
Hviti 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 2
Selfoss 5
Ellidi 1
Haukar 3
Thor Akureyri 7
Magni 0
Augnablik 0
IR Reykjavik 5
Grotta 2
Vidir 1
TBD -
Akranes -
Afturelding -
TBD -
Sindri 0
Hottur / Huginn 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
KFA 3
Spyrnir 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/16-finals
KR Reykjavik 11
KA Asvellir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Grindavik 1
Valur 3
Volsungur 2
Throttur 3
Kari 2
Fylkir 1
Stjarnan 5
Njardvik 3
Keflavik 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Olafsvik 7
Ulfarnir 1
Breidablik 5
Fjolnir 0
Vestri 4
Kopavogur 3
Selfoss 4
Haukar 0
Thor Akureyri 3
IR Reykjavik 1
Grotta 1
Akranes 4
Afturelding 5
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 4
KFA 0
Fram 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
1/8-finals
KR Reykjavik 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Valur 2
Throttur 1
Kari 2
Stjarnan 3
Keflavik 5
Olafsvik 2
Breidablik 1
Vestri 2
Selfoss 1
Thor Akureyri 4
Akranes 0
Afturelding 1
KA Akureyri 2
Fram 4
Quarter-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Valur 1
Stjarnan 4
Keflavik 2
Vestri 2
Thor Akureyri 0
Afturelding 0
Fram 1
Semi-finals
Valur 3
Stjarnan 1
Vestri 1
Fram 0
Final
Valur 0
Vestri 1