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Arbroath vs Airdrieonians - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Gayfield Park, Arbroath
Tue, Nov 24, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Airdrieonians have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Arbroath have conceded 1.4 and scored 0.9. Past meetings favor Airdrieonians slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.06 - 2.25) back Airdrieonians to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Arbroath
15%
Draws
57%
Airdrieonians
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Airdrieonians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Arbroath haven't matched Airdrieonians's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Airdrieonians's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Airdrieonians arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Airdrieonians, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Arbroath Clean Sheet 10%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arbroath Airdrieonians
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Arbroath
0:0
Feb 3, 2026 Challenge Cup
Arbroath vs Airdrieonians
2:3
Jan 17, 2026 Scottish Cup
Airdrieonians vs Arbroath
4:3
Dec 27, 2025 Championship
Arbroath vs Airdrieonians
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Arbroath
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arbroath 18 / 100
Airdrieonians 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arbroath Airdrieonians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Airdrieonians Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Airdrieonians's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Airdrieonians has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Arbroath scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arbroath VS Airdrieonians
0.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Arbroath

(Home)
03 Nov
Arbroath
1 : 0
Queen of the South
31 Oct
Arbroath
0 : 4
Raith
24 Oct
Livingston
1 : 0
Arbroath
17 Oct
Inverness
2 : 0
Arbroath
10 Oct
Arbroath
1 : 2
Morton
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Airdrieonians

(Away)
03 Nov
Airdrieonians
5 : 0
Elgin City
31 Oct
Airdrieonians
0 : 1
Cove Rangers
24 Oct
Ross County
4 : 0
Airdrieonians
17 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 2
Hamilton
13 Oct
Airdrieonians
3 : 2
Hearts B
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Spartans 0
Livingston 2
St. Mirren B 1
Peterhead 2
Hamilton 2
Raith 1
Formartine Utd 0
Cove Rangers 2
East Kilbride 7
Stirling 3
Edinburgh City 0
Partick 3
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Dunfermline 4
Morton 0
Kelty Hearts 1
Ross County 2
Celtic B 0
Stenhousemuir 4
Berwick 1
Arbroath 1
Queen of the South 0
Airdrieonians 5
Elgin City 0
Annan 0
Ayr 2
Inverness 1
Montrose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Alloa 0
Aberdeen B 1
Queen's Park 2
1/8-finals
Livingston -
Peterhead -
Hamilton -
Cove Rangers -
East Kilbride -
Partick -
Dunfermline -
Kelty Hearts -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
Arbroath -
Airdrieonians -
Ayr -
Inverness -
Clydebank FC -
Queen's Park -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -