Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Gayfield Park, Arbroath

Arbroath

0 - 2

Montrose

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Loudon E.

Assist: Lyons B.

28'

Loudon E.

Assist: Barjonas J.

46'

Sub

Watson C. In: McKenna M.

Out: Watson C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Montrose advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Arbroath

Draws

90%

Montrose

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Montrose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Arbroath haven't matched Montrose's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on Montrose taking it.
Montrose arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Arbroath, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Arbroath Clean Sheet 16%

Montrose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arbroath	Montrose
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	9	10
Draws	9	8
Losses	12	11
Goals Scored	1.63	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 League Cup

Arbroath vs Montrose

0:2

Apr 5, 2025 League One

Montrose vs Arbroath

0:1

Dec 28, 2024 League One

Arbroath vs Montrose

3:0

Nov 9, 2024 League One

Montrose vs Arbroath

1:1

Sep 7, 2024 Challenge Cup

Arbroath vs Montrose

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arbroath Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Montrose Compare

Top Goalscorer Loudon E.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arbroath 10 / 100

Montrose 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arbroath Montrose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:5

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montrose has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Arbroath found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Arbroath went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arbroath VS Montrose

1.63 Goals Scored 1.75

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arbroath

(Home)

21 Jul

Arbroath

0 : 2

Montrose

18 Jul

Dundee Utd

3 : 0

Arbroath

14 Jul

Arbroath

1 : 2

Hearts

11 Jul

Spartans

1 : 2

Arbroath

04 Jul

Arbroath

4 : 1

Brechin

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Montrose

(Away)

21 Jul

Arbroath

0 : 2

Montrose

18 Jul

Stirling

0 : 2

Montrose

14 Jul

Montrose

1 : 0

Dundee Utd

08 Jul

Montrose

7 : 0

Inverurie Loco Works

04 Jul

Montrose

0 : 3

St Johnstone

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