Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Arbroath host Morton in the Championship. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Morton have shipped 1.71 goals a game lately, while Arbroath have conceded 1.17 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Morton slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 0.81) point toward Arbroath. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Arbroath carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Arbroath's way, sitting at 50%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arbroath | Morton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Morton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Solid form: Arbroath remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Morton's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Arbroath
(Home)Morton
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11:2 | 19 |
| 2 | Raith | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 14 |
| 3 | Partick | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | 12 |
| 4 | Dunfermline | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 5 | Livingston | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 6 | Ayr | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 7 | Arbroath | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | 8 |
| 8 | Inverness | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 4 |
| 10 | Morton | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:13 | 1 |
