Sport Picks
Arbroath vs Queen of the South - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup Gayfield Park, Arbroath 
Match Events
68'
68'
Reilly G.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arbroath
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Arbroath come out ahead of Queen of the South on wins alone.
- Model gives Arbroath a 43% chance of winning this.
- Arbroath have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Arbroath, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Arbroath Clean Sheet 14%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arbroath | Queen of the South |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 18 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 3, 2026 Challenge Cup
Arbroath vs Queen of the South
1:0
May 3, 2025 League One
Arbroath vs Queen of the South
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 League One
Queen of the South vs Arbroath
0:3
Dec 7, 2024 League One
Arbroath vs Queen of the South
2:1
Nov 30, 2024 Scottish Cup
Arbroath vs Queen of the South
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arbroath 39 / 100
Queen of the South 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arbroath Queen of the South
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arbroath Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Queen of the South conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Queen of the South lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Arbroath's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Arbroath VS Queen of the South
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Arbroath
(Home) 03 Nov
Arbroath
1 : 0 Queen of the South
31 Oct
Arbroath
0 : 4 Raith
24 Oct
Livingston
1 : 0 Arbroath
17 Oct
Inverness
2 : 0 Arbroath
10 Oct
Arbroath
1 : 2 Morton
Page 1 of 7
03 Nov
Arbroath
1 : 0 Queen of the South
31 Oct
Arbroath
0 : 4 Raith
10 Oct
Arbroath
1 : 2 Morton
25 Sept
Arbroath
2 : 1 Queen's Park
05 Sept
Arbroath
1 : 1 Dunfermline
Page 1 of 4
Queen of the South
(Away) 03 Nov
Arbroath
1 : 0 Queen of the South
31 Oct
East Fife
2 : 0 Queen of the South
24 Oct
Alloa
0 : 1 Queen of the South
17 Oct
Queen of the South
1 : 7 Ross County
13 Oct
Berwick
1 : 0 Queen of the South
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Arbroath
1 : 0 Queen of the South
31 Oct
East Fife
2 : 0 Queen of the South
24 Oct
Alloa
0 : 1 Queen of the South
13 Oct
Berwick
1 : 0 Queen of the South
10 Oct
Peterhead
0 : 1 Queen of the South
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Spartans 0
Livingston 2
St. Mirren B 1
Peterhead 2
Hamilton 2
Raith 1
Formartine Utd 0
Cove Rangers 2
East Kilbride 7
Stirling 3
Edinburgh City 0
Partick 3
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Dunfermline 4
Morton 0
Kelty Hearts 1
Ross County 2
Celtic B 0
Stenhousemuir 4
Berwick 1
Arbroath 1
Queen of the South 0
Airdrieonians 5
Elgin City 0
Annan 0
Ayr 2
Inverness 1
Montrose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Alloa 0
Aberdeen B 1
Queen's Park 2
1/8-finals
Livingston -
Peterhead -
Hamilton -
Cove Rangers -
East Kilbride -
Partick -
Dunfermline -
Kelty Hearts -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
Arbroath -
Airdrieonians -
Ayr -
Inverness -
Clydebank FC -
Queen's Park -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
