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Arbroath vs Queen's Park - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Championship Gayfield Park, Arbroath
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Winter A.
Assist: Molotnikov R.
15'
Ruth M.
26'
Flynn R.

AI Match Summary

Arbroath in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arbroath.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Arbroath
15%
Draws
57%
Queen's Park
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Queen's Park

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Queen's Park haven't matched Arbroath's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Arbroath have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Arbroath Clean Sheet 16%
Queen's Park Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arbroath Queen's Park
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Championship
Arbroath vs Queen's Park
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 Championship
Arbroath vs Queen's Park
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 Championship
Queen's Park vs Arbroath
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 Championship
Arbroath vs Queen's Park
4:1
Aug 9, 2025 Championship
Queen's Park vs Arbroath
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arbroath Compare

Top Goalscorer Winter A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Molotnikov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Queen's Park Compare

Top Goalscorer Fisher O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arbroath 31 / 100
Queen's Park 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arbroath Queen's Park

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queen's Park Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Queen's Park's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Queen's Park's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Arbroath scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arbroath VS Queen's Park
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arbroath

(Home)
03 Nov
Arbroath
1 : 0
Queen of the South
31 Oct
Arbroath
0 : 4
Raith
24 Oct
Livingston
1 : 0
Arbroath
17 Oct
Inverness
2 : 0
Arbroath
10 Oct
Arbroath
1 : 2
Morton
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Queen's Park

(Away)
03 Nov
Aberdeen B
1 : 2
Queen's Park
31 Oct
Ayr
3 : 2
Queen's Park
24 Oct
Queen's Park
0 : 1
Dunfermline
17 Oct
Morton
2 : 0
Queen's Park
13 Oct
Queen's Park
2 : 1
Inverness
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Raith 14 7 4 3 20:9 25
2 Partick 13 7 4 2 17:7 25
3 Dunfermline 14 6 7 1 15:7 25
4 Stenhousemuir 13 7 2 4 13:12 23
5 Livingston 13 6 2 5 18:11 20
6 Inverness 13 5 4 4 17:16 19
7 Ayr 12 4 3 5 13:14 15
8 Arbroath 13 3 2 8 7:22 11
9 Morton 12 3 1 8 12:20 10
10 Queen's Park 13 2 1 10 8:22 7
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)