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Arbroath vs Queen's Park

Scotland Scotland

Championship Gayfield Park, Arbroath
Fri, Sep 25, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arbroath host Queen's Park in the Championship. Little to choose between these two on current form. Arbroath have averaged 1 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Queen's Park's 1.1 scored and 1.28 conceded. Past meetings favor Arbroath slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.00, favoring Queen's Park. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Arbroath
20%
Draws
29%
Queen's Park
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arbroath

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Arbroath haven't matched Queen's Park's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Arbroath a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Arbroath Clean Sheet 68%
Queen's Park Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arbroath Queen's Park
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Championship
Arbroath vs Queen's Park
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 Championship
Queen's Park vs Arbroath
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 Championship
Arbroath vs Queen's Park
4:1
Aug 9, 2025 Championship
Queen's Park vs Arbroath
1:3
Apr 27, 2024 Championship
Arbroath vs Queen's Park
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arbroath 50 / 100
Queen's Park 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arbroath Queen's Park

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arbroath Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Queen's Park let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Arbroath stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Queen's Park's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Arbroath VS Queen's Park
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arbroath

(Home)
19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Arbroath
12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0
Arbroath
05 Sept
Arbroath
1 : 1
Dunfermline
29 Aug
Arbroath
1 : 0
Livingston
22 Aug
Morton
1 : 2
Arbroath
Page 1 of 6

Queen's Park

(Away)
18 Sept
Queen's Park
0 : 2
Ayr
12 Sept
Dunfermline
2 : 0
Queen's Park
05 Sept
Queen's Park
2 : 1
Morton
29 Aug
Partick
0 : 0
Queen's Park
22 Aug
Queen's Park
0 : 2
Stenhousemuir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 7 6 1 0 11:2 19
2 Raith 7 4 2 1 11:3 14
3 Partick 7 3 3 1 5:2 12
4 Dunfermline 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
5 Livingston 7 3 1 3 10:7 10
6 Ayr 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
7 Arbroath 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
8 Inverness 7 1 4 2 7:9 7
9 Queen's Park 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Morton 7 0 1 6 4:13 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)