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Arcahaie vs America des Cayes

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2021
Thu, May 27, 2021
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arcahaie host America des Cayes in the Championnat National 2021. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Arcahaie at 0 goals for, 0 against; America des Cayes at 1.88 for, 0.38 against. Head-to-head, Arcahaie have won 0 to America des Cayes's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 27, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.79 xG vs 1.49) point toward America des Cayes. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Arcahaie
33%
Draws
27%
America des Cayes
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Arcahaie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • America des Cayes have won more games recently than Arcahaie.
  • Arcahaie are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championnat National 2021 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Arcahaie Clean Sheet 68%
America des Cayes Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arcahaie America des Cayes
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2021 Championnat National
Arcahaie vs America des Cayes
0:0
Nov 15, 2020 Championnat National
America des Cayes vs Arcahaie
2:1
Nov 10, 2019 Championnat National
Arcahaie vs America des Cayes
0:0
May 5, 2019 Championnat National
America des Cayes vs Arcahaie
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arcahaie 50 / 100
America des Cayes 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arcahaie America des Cayes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Arcahaie stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Arcahaie scored in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: America des Cayes conceded in 48% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS America des Cayes
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Bosco844014:516
2Mirebalais93608:515
3Ouanaminthe94328:615
4Rivartibonitienne93517:614
5Arcahaie63307:112
6Cavaly63309:412
7Fica93335:412
8Tempete83327:812
9AS Capoise93246:511
10Triomphe Liancourt82428:610
11Real du Cap931510:1110
12Violette92437:810
13Racing des Gonaives92434:710
14America des Cayes72237:78
15Juventus82245:88
16Baltimore81346:96
17Racing Haitien81348:166
18Cosmopolites71153:134