Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arcahaie vs Cosmopolites

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Championnat National 2021 game between Arcahaie and Cosmopolites finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arcahaie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Arcahaie
35%
Draws
40%
Cosmopolites
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cosmopolites

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Arcahaie carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Arcahaie are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championnat National 2021 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Arcahaie Clean Sheet 20%
Cosmopolites Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arcahaie Cosmopolites
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2020 Championnat National
Arcahaie vs Cosmopolites
4:0
Oct 13, 2019 Championnat National
Cosmopolites vs Arcahaie
0:0
Apr 7, 2019 Championnat National
Arcahaie vs Cosmopolites
1:0
Sep 20, 2018 Championnat National
Cosmopolites vs Arcahaie
1:0
Mar 8, 2018 Championnat National
Arcahaie vs Cosmopolites
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arcahaie 42 / 100
Cosmopolites 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arcahaie Cosmopolites

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cosmopolites conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Arcahaie stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Arcahaie's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Arcahaie VS Cosmopolites
0.71 Goals Scored 0.63
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 50%
29% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arcahaie

(Home)
16 May
Arcahaie
0 : 2
Waterhouse
13 May
Vega Real
2 : 1
Arcahaie
30 May
Ouanaminthe
0 : 3
Arcahaie
16 May
Triomphe Liancourt
1 : 1
Arcahaie
13 May
Fica
0 : 0
Arcahaie
Page 1 of 6

Cosmopolites

(Away)
27 Apr
Cosmopolites
0 : 0
Rivartibonitienne
21 Apr
Baltimore
0 : 1
Cosmopolites
11 Apr
Cosmopolites
0 : 1
Triomphe Liancourt
07 Apr
Tempete
1 : 1
Cosmopolites
30 Mar
Rivartibonitienne
0 : 1
Cosmopolites
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arcahaie 17 9 3 5 20:10 30
2 Baltimore 17 8 6 3 12:5 30
3 Triomphe Liancourt 17 9 3 5 17:15 30
4 AS Capoise 17 7 6 4 16:12 27
5 Racing Haitien 17 8 3 6 17:14 27
6 Violette 17 5 10 2 18:13 25
7 Cavaly 17 7 4 6 16:14 25
8 America des Cayes 17 7 4 6 16:15 25
9 Real du Cap 17 6 5 6 21:15 23
10 Tempete 17 6 4 7 18:15 22
11 Juventus 17 6 4 7 12:16 22
12 Rivartibonitienne 17 5 5 7 15:22 20
13 Don Bosco 17 4 7 6 20:21 19
14 Ouanaminthe 17 4 6 7 11:18 18
15 Cosmopolites 17 4 6 7 13:23 18
16 Fica 17 2 11 4 17:16 17
17 Racing des Gonaives 17 3 7 7 12:18 16
18 Mirebalais 17 2 8 7 10:19 14
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Ouverture - Play Offs)
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Ouverture - Play Offs)