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Arcahaie vs Violette

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2021 Parc Syint-Yves, Arcahaie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Violette advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Arcahaie
20%
Draws
56%
Violette
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Violette

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Violette carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Violette taking it.
  • Violette arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Violette, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Arcahaie Clean Sheet 20%
Violette Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arcahaie Violette
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 11 20
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2021 Championnat National
Arcahaie vs Violette
0:1
Jan 6, 2021 Championnat National
Violette vs Arcahaie
2:1
Nov 19, 2020 Championnat National
Arcahaie vs Violette
1:1
Mar 19, 2020 Championnat National
Violette vs Arcahaie
1:1
Oct 6, 2019 Championnat National
Arcahaie vs Violette
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arcahaie 20 / 100
Violette 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arcahaie Violette

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Violette Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arcahaie scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Arcahaie remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Violette has conceded goals in 53% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Violette
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arcahaie

(Home)
16 May
Arcahaie
0 : 2
Waterhouse
13 May
Vega Real
2 : 1
Arcahaie
30 May
Ouanaminthe
0 : 3
Arcahaie
16 May
Triomphe Liancourt
1 : 1
Arcahaie
13 May
Fica
0 : 0
Arcahaie
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Violette

(Away)
19 Aug
Delfines Del Este
0 : 1
Violette
05 Aug
Violette
3 : 0
Defence Force
28 May
Violette
2 : 0
America des Cayes
25 May
Violette
3 : 2
Don Bosco
22 May
Violette
0 : 1
Juventus
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Baltimore -
TBD -
Violette 4
Triomphe Liancourt 2
Arcahaie -
TBD -
AS Capoise 4
Racing Haitien 3
Semi-finals
Baltimore 0
Violette 2
Arcahaie 1
AS Capoise 0
Final
Violette 3
Arcahaie 1