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Arconatese vs Crema

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Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Akammadu F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 game between Arconatese and Crema finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Arconatese
30%
Draws
47%
Crema
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Crema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Arconatese and Crema close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Crema taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 20%
Crema Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arconatese Crema
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 9 11
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.9 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Crema
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Crema vs Arconatese
3:2
Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Crema
3:0
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Crema vs Arconatese
0:2
Feb 2, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Crema
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arconatese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Crema Compare

Top Goalscorer Akammadu F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arconatese 24 / 100
Crema 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arconatese Crema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crema Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Crema conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Crema lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Arconatese found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Arconatese VS Crema
0.8 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
80% Over 1.5 50%
60% Over 2.5 25%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arconatese

(Home)
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Arconatese
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1
Correggese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2
AC Leon
04 May
Breno
4 : 1
Arconatese
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Crema

(Away)
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0
Crema
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3
Pistoiese
06 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Crema
08 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0
Crema
10 May
Crema
2 : 0
Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)