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Arconatese vs Folgore Caratese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Ferrandino D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 game between Arconatese and Folgore Caratese finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Folgore Caratese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Arconatese
35%
Draws
32%
Folgore Caratese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Folgore Caratese come out ahead of Arconatese on wins alone.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Folgore Caratese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 13%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arconatese Folgore Caratese
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 9 12
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Folgore Caratese
0:1
Sep 18, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Arconatese
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Folgore Caratese
1:1
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Arconatese
0:1
Apr 16, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Arconatese
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arconatese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Folgore Caratese Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrandino D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arconatese 22 / 100
Folgore Caratese 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arconatese Folgore Caratese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folgore Caratese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Folgore Caratese conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Folgore Caratese registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Arconatese found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Arconatese VS Folgore Caratese
0.8 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
80% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arconatese

(Home)
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Arconatese
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1
Correggese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2
AC Leon
04 May
Breno
4 : 1
Arconatese
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Folgore Caratese

(Away)
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0
Folgore Caratese
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2
Folgore Caratese
24 Aug
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)