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Arconatese vs Pro Sesto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Morello M.
82' Event
Alberton F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Arconatese
35%
Draws
53%
Pro Sesto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pro Sesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Arconatese haven't matched Pro Sesto's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pro Sesto's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 16%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arconatese Pro Sesto
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 11 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Arconatese vs Pro Sesto
1:1
Jan 29, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Pro Sesto vs Arconatese
1:1
Oct 2, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Pro Sesto
0:3
Jan 5, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Pro Sesto
4:2
Sep 1, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Pro Sesto vs Arconatese
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arconatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Alberton F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Pro Sesto Compare

Top Goalscorer Morello M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arconatese 10 / 100
Pro Sesto 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arconatese Pro Sesto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Sesto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Arconatese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Arconatese scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Pro Sesto conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Arconatese VS Pro Sesto
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arconatese

(Home)
04 Oct
Arconatese
1 : 1
Pro Sesto
27 Sept
Pavia
1 : 1
Arconatese
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3
Pro Patria
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Arconatese
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1
Correggese
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Pro Sesto

(Away)
04 Oct
Arconatese
1 : 1
Pro Sesto
27 Sept
Pro Sesto
6 : 1
Oltrepo
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3
Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0
US Pontedera
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2
Pro Sesto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pistoiese 6 6 0 0 17:1 18
2 Pro Sesto 6 4 1 1 17:5 13
3 Pro Patria 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
4 Lentigione 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
5 Castellanzese 6 4 0 2 13:5 12
6 Cittadella Vis Modena 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
7 USD Casatese 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
8 Correggese 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
9 Sant'Angelo 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 Pavia 6 1 4 1 5:3 7
11 Varese FC 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
12 Varesina 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
13 Solbiatese 5 1 2 2 2:6 5
14 Tropical Coriano 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
15 Crema 6 1 1 4 4:14 4
16 Arconatese 6 0 3 3 4:13 3
17 Oltrepo 6 1 0 5 4:14 3
18 US Pontedera 5 0 0 5 3:15 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)