Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arcos CF vs Castilleja CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Castilleja CF in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castilleja CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Arcos CF
30%
Draws
47%
Castilleja CF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Castilleja CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Castilleja CF lately — more wins on the board than Arcos CF.
  • Arcos CF are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Arcos CF Clean Sheet 20%
Castilleja CF Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arcos CF Castilleja CF
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 0.7 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Castilleja CF vs Arcos CF
0:0
Apr 10, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Arcos CF vs Castilleja CF
1:2
May 6, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Castilleja CF vs Arcos CF
0:2
Dec 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Arcos CF vs Castilleja CF
2:2
Feb 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Arcos CF vs Castilleja CF
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arcos CF 42 / 100
Castilleja CF 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arcos CF Castilleja CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Castilleja CF conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Castilleja CF has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Arcos CF's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Castilleja CF
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arcos CF

(Home)
26 Aug
Arcos CF
0 : 1
Antoniano
28 Aug
Lebrijana
2 : 2
Arcos CF
20 Aug
Antoniano
2 : 1
Arcos CF
06 Jun
Coria C.F.
2 : 1
Arcos CF
30 May
Arcos CF
1 : 1
La Palma CF
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Castilleja CF

(Away)
06 May
Castilleja CF
0 : 2
Coria C.F.
03 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2
Castilleja CF
26 Apr
Castilleja CF
0 : 1
Cordoba B
19 Apr
Chiclana
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
12 Apr
Castilleja CF
3 : 1
Conil
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