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Arcos CF vs CD Alcala

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017
Arcos CF Logo

Arcos CF

4 - 0
FT
CD Alcala Logo

CD Alcala

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arcos CF in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arcos CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Arcos CF
20%
Draws
60%
CD Alcala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • CD Alcala have won more games recently than Arcos CF.
  • Arcos CF are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Arcos CF Clean Sheet 19%
CD Alcala Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arcos CF CD Alcala
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 13 3
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.76 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Arcos CF vs CD Alcala
1:2
Aug 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Arcos CF
2:0
Feb 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Arcos CF vs CD Alcala
4:0
Oct 16, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Arcos CF
0:2
Feb 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Arcos CF
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arcos CF 42 / 100
CD Alcala 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arcos CF CD Alcala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Alcala conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

CD Alcala lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Arcos CF's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Arcos CF VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arcos CF

(Home)
26 Aug
Arcos CF
0 : 1
Antoniano
28 Aug
Lebrijana
2 : 2
Arcos CF
20 Aug
Antoniano
2 : 1
Arcos CF
06 Jun
Coria C.F.
2 : 1
Arcos CF
30 May
Arcos CF
1 : 1
La Palma CF
Page 1 of 7

CD Alcala

(Away)
13 May
CD Alcala
0 : 2
Sanluqueno
06 May
Sevilla C
4 : 0
CD Alcala
28 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 0
CD Alcala
22 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
15 Apr
Inter Sevilla
0 : 2
CD Alcala
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 38 23 6 9 81:35 75
2 Arcos CF 38 21 11 6 76:39 74
3 Ecija 38 20 9 9 69:39 69
4 Algeciras 38 19 11 8 66:34 68
5 San Roque de Lepe 38 19 9 10 68:52 66
6 Atletico Espeleno 38 17 9 12 63:56 60
7 Sevilla C 38 15 13 10 55:39 58
8 AD Ceuta 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
9 Lebrijana 38 14 11 13 45:48 53
10 CD Utrera 38 15 6 17 49:50 51
11 CD Gerena 38 14 7 17 53:53 49
12 Los Barrios 38 13 8 17 31:44 47
13 CD Guadalcacin 38 12 10 16 42:57 46
14 Cabecense 38 10 13 15 47:64 43
15 Castilleja CF 38 12 7 19 44:55 43
16 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 11 10 17 45:66 43
17 CD Alcala 38 12 7 19 37:65 43
18 Antoniano 38 9 13 16 38:59 40
19 Coria C.F. 38 8 12 18 48:66 36
20 San Roque de Cadiz 38 6 6 26 37:79 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)