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Arcos CF vs Lebrijana

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021
Arcos CF Logo

Arcos CF

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Lebrijana Logo

Lebrijana

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arcos CF in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arcos CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Arcos CF
30%
Draws
23%
Lebrijana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arcos CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Arcos CF have won more games recently than Lebrijana.
  • Model gives Arcos CF a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Arcos CF Clean Sheet 20%
Lebrijana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arcos CF Lebrijana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 11 8
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 0.7 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2021 Club Friendly
Lebrijana vs Arcos CF
2:2
Feb 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Arcos CF vs Lebrijana
1:0
Nov 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Lebrijana vs Arcos CF
2:0
Jan 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Lebrijana vs Arcos CF
0:0
Sep 8, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Arcos CF vs Lebrijana
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arcos CF 76 / 100
Lebrijana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arcos CF Lebrijana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arcos CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lebrijana let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Lebrijana has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Arcos CF's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Arcos CF VS Lebrijana
0.88 Goals Scored 0.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arcos CF

(Home)
26 Aug
Arcos CF
0 : 1
Antoniano
28 Aug
Lebrijana
2 : 2
Arcos CF
20 Aug
Antoniano
2 : 1
Arcos CF
06 Jun
Coria C.F.
2 : 1
Arcos CF
30 May
Arcos CF
1 : 1
La Palma CF
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Lebrijana

(Away)
02 Sept
Cabecense
3 : 0
Lebrijana
28 Aug
Lebrijana
2 : 2
Arcos CF
06 Jun
Castilleja CF
1 : 0
Lebrijana
29 May
Lebrijana
1 : 4
Coria C.F.
23 May
La Palma CF
1 : 0
Lebrijana
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xerez Deportivo FC 18 11 4 3 26:11 37
2 Xerez CD 18 10 5 3 23:11 35
3 AD Ceuta 18 7 8 3 26:17 29
4 Los Barrios 18 7 3 8 18:17 24
5 CD Rota 18 6 4 8 15:21 22
6 Antoniano 18 4 9 5 15:20 21
7 Conil 18 3 11 4 19:18 20
8 Cabecense 18 4 7 7 15:23 19
9 Arcos CF 18 4 5 9 10:19 17
10 Lebrijana 18 4 4 10 15:25 16
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Roque de Lepe 20 14 3 3 30:18 45
2 Ciudad de Lucena 20 12 4 4 35:16 40
3 Puente Genil 20 9 6 5 28:24 33
4 Cordoba B 20 8 6 6 31:25 30
5 CD Utrera 20 9 3 8 26:26 30
6 Pozoblanco 20 7 6 7 22:23 27
7 Sevilla C 20 7 5 8 17:20 26
8 Inter Sevilla 20 5 7 8 17:25 22
9 Castilleja CF 20 6 3 11 25:27 21
10 Coria C.F. 20 3 6 11 14:28 15
11 La Palma CF 20 2 7 11 14:27 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)