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Arcos CF vs Xerez CD

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021
Arcos CF Logo

Arcos CF

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Xerez CD Logo

Xerez CD

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 game between Arcos CF and Xerez CD finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Xerez CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Arcos CF
35%
Draws
53%
Xerez CD
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Xerez CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Xerez CD come out ahead of Arcos CF on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Xerez CD's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Xerez CD here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Arcos CF Clean Sheet 22%
Xerez CD Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arcos CF Xerez CD
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 18
Draws 11 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.7 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Arcos CF vs Xerez CD
0:2
Dec 13, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Xerez CD vs Arcos CF
2:0
Oct 11, 2020 Club Friendly
Arcos CF vs Xerez CD
1:3
Jan 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Xerez CD vs Arcos CF
3:0
Aug 25, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Arcos CF vs Xerez CD
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arcos CF 21 / 100
Xerez CD 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arcos CF Xerez CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xerez CD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Arcos CF scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Xerez CD conceded in 42% of 33 recent games.

Arcos CF has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Xerez CD
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arcos CF

(Home)
26 Aug
Arcos CF
0 : 1
Antoniano
28 Aug
Lebrijana
2 : 2
Arcos CF
20 Aug
Antoniano
2 : 1
Arcos CF
06 Jun
Coria C.F.
2 : 1
Arcos CF
30 May
Arcos CF
1 : 1
La Palma CF
Page 1 of 6

Xerez CD

(Away)
14 Aug
Portuense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
07 Aug
Chiclana
0 : 1
Xerez CD
04 Aug
Xerez CD
2 : 0
AD Ceuta B
17 May
Conquense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
09 May
Xerez CD
1 : 1
Conquense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xerez Deportivo FC 18 11 4 3 26:11 37
2 Xerez CD 18 10 5 3 23:11 35
3 AD Ceuta 18 7 8 3 26:17 29
4 Los Barrios 18 7 3 8 18:17 24
5 CD Rota 18 6 4 8 15:21 22
6 Antoniano 18 4 9 5 15:20 21
7 Conil 18 3 11 4 19:18 20
8 Cabecense 18 4 7 7 15:23 19
9 Arcos CF 18 4 5 9 10:19 17
10 Lebrijana 18 4 4 10 15:25 16
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Roque de Lepe 20 14 3 3 30:18 45
2 Ciudad de Lucena 20 12 4 4 35:16 40
3 Puente Genil 20 9 6 5 28:24 33
4 Cordoba B 20 8 6 6 31:25 30
5 CD Utrera 20 9 3 8 26:26 30
6 Pozoblanco 20 7 6 7 22:23 27
7 Sevilla C 20 7 5 8 17:20 26
8 Inter Sevilla 20 5 7 8 17:25 22
9 Castilleja CF 20 6 3 11 25:27 21
10 Coria C.F. 20 3 6 11 14:28 15
11 La Palma CF 20 2 7 11 14:27 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)