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Arda vs Botev Galabovo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Delev S.
38' Event
Kokonov I.
48' Event
Kovachev S.

AI Match Summary

Arda in this Club Friendly 2020 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Arda
35%
Draws
28%
Botev Galabovo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arda lately — more wins on the board than Botev Galabovo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Arda Clean Sheet 20%
Botev Galabovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arda Botev Galabovo
Matches Played 31 18
Wins 15 5
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.39 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2020 Club Friendly
Arda vs Botev Galabovo
4:0
May 23, 2019 Vtora liga
Botev Galabovo vs Arda
2:3
Nov 24, 2018 Vtora liga
Arda vs Botev Galabovo
2:1
May 19, 2013 Third League - South-East
Arda vs Botev Galabovo
0:3
Nov 17, 2012 Third League - South-East
Botev Galabovo vs Arda
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arda Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovachev S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Delev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Botev Galabovo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arda 32 / 100
Botev Galabovo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arda Botev Galabovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Galabovo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Arda found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Botev Galabovo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 18 matches.

Recent resilience: Arda stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arda VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arda

(Home)
02 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0
Arda
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1
Arda
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
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Botev Galabovo

(Away)
08 Mar
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Botev Galabovo
04 Mar
Botev Galabovo
0 : 1
Botev Plovdiv
29 Feb
Botev Galabovo
1 : 1
Spartak Pleven
22 Feb
Lok. Sofia
2 : 0
Botev Galabovo
15 Feb
Botev Galabovo
0 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
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