Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arda vs Botev Plovdiv

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Arena Arda, Kardzhali
Arda Logo

Arda

0 - 2
FT
Botev Plovdiv Logo

Botev Plovdiv

Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Kwateng E.
13'
Algarra C.
35' Event
Nedelev T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The efbet League 2025/2026 game between Arda and Botev Plovdiv finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Arda
20%
Draws
40%
Botev Plovdiv
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Botev Plovdiv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Arda a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Arda Clean Sheet 68%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arda Botev Plovdiv
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.18 1.73
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Botev Plovdiv vs Arda
2:1
May 12, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Arda
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 efbet League
Arda vs Botev Plovdiv
0:2
Dec 2, 2025 efbet League
Arda vs Botev Plovdiv
0:0
Aug 4, 2025 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Arda
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Botev Plovdiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Nedelev T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arda 59 / 100
Botev Plovdiv 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arda Botev Plovdiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arda scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Arda stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Botev Plovdiv let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Arda VS Botev Plovdiv
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arda

(Home)
08 Aug
Dunav Ruse
0 : 2
Arda
31 Jul
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Arda
24 Jul
Arda
1 : 0
Slavia Sofia
18 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 1
Arda
10 Jul
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0
Arda
Page 1 of 6

Botev Plovdiv

(Away)
15 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
10 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
3 : 2
Spartak Varna
01 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
27 Jul
CSKA Sofia
3 : 2
Botev Plovdiv
21 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 1
Lok. Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
5 Lok. Plovdiv 36 14 13 9 36:41 55
6 Arda 36 15 9 12 42:34 54
7 Cherno More 36 14 12 10 40:34 54
8 Botev Plovdiv 36 13 7 16 49:45 46
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)