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Arda vs Levski Karlovo

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Kazakov I.
60' Event
Karagaren B.
68' Event
Popov I.

AI Match Summary

Arda in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Arda
15%
Draws
26%
Levski Karlovo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arda lately — more wins on the board than Levski Karlovo.
  • Model gives Arda a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Arda Clean Sheet 20%
Levski Karlovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arda Levski Karlovo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.29 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.06 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Arda vs Levski Karlovo
3:0
Mar 10, 2018 Third League - South-East
Arda vs Levski Karlovo
7:0
Aug 27, 2017 Third League - South-East
Levski Karlovo vs Arda
0:2
Apr 17, 2013 Third League - South-East
Arda vs Levski Karlovo
0:3
Sep 19, 2012 Third League - South-East
Levski Karlovo vs Arda
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arda Compare

Top Goalscorer Kazakov I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karagaren B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Levski Karlovo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arda 85 / 100
Levski Karlovo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arda Levski Karlovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Levski Karlovo conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Arda's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Arda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arda VS Levski Karlovo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arda

(Home)
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1
Arda
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1
Arda
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Levski Karlovo

(Away)
26 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2
Levski Karlovo
19 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 2
Rozova Dolina
12 Sept
OFC Haskovo
2 : 0
Levski Karlovo
05 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 5
Yambol 1915
29 Aug
Zagorets
2 : 0
Levski Karlovo
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