Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arda vs Slavia Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Arena Arda, Kardzhali
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Vutov A.
46'
Sub
Kazaldzhiev V. In: Stefanov I.
Out: Kazaldzhiev V.
52'
Tunchev A.

AI Match Summary

Arda in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Arda
20%
Draws
51%
Slavia Sofia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Slavia Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Slavia Sofia haven't matched Arda's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Arda Clean Sheet 19%
Slavia Sofia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arda Slavia Sofia
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 efbet League
Arda vs Slavia Sofia
1:0
Feb 14, 2026 efbet League
Arda vs Slavia Sofia
2:1
Aug 25, 2025 efbet League
Slavia Sofia vs Arda
2:0
Feb 22, 2025 efbet League
Arda vs Slavia Sofia
1:1
Aug 30, 2024 efbet League
Slavia Sofia vs Arda
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arda Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Slavia Sofia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arda 32 / 100
Slavia Sofia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arda Slavia Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slavia Sofia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arda's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Slavia Sofia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Arda stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arda VS Slavia Sofia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arda

(Home)
02 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0
Arda
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1
Arda
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
Page 1 of 6

Slavia Sofia

(Away)
03 Oct
Slavia Sofia
2 : 1
Botev Vratsa
18 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia
13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0
Spartak Varna
07 Sept
Dunav Ruse
0 : 1
Slavia Sofia
02 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24:7 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16:14 16
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10:15 10
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Lok. Sofia 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
12 Lok. Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 5:13 7
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10:19 5
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)