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Arda vs Slavia Sofia

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Arena Arda, Kardzhali
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Vutov A.
46'
Sub
Kazaldzhiev V. In: Stefanov I.
Out: Kazaldzhiev V.
52'
Tunchev A.

AI Match Summary

Arda in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Arda
30%
Draws
31%
Slavia Sofia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Slavia Sofia haven't matched Arda's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Slavia Sofia a 31% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Arda Clean Sheet 16%
Slavia Sofia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arda Slavia Sofia
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.56
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 efbet League
Arda vs Slavia Sofia
1:0
Feb 14, 2026 efbet League
Arda vs Slavia Sofia
2:1
Aug 25, 2025 efbet League
Slavia Sofia vs Arda
2:0
Feb 22, 2025 efbet League
Arda vs Slavia Sofia
1:1
Aug 30, 2024 efbet League
Slavia Sofia vs Arda
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arda Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Slavia Sofia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arda 15 / 100
Slavia Sofia 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arda Slavia Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slavia Sofia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arda's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Slavia Sofia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Arda stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arda VS Slavia Sofia
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arda

(Home)
17 Aug
Arda
3 : 1
Lok. Sofia
08 Aug
Dunav Ruse
0 : 2
Arda
31 Jul
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Arda
24 Jul
Arda
1 : 0
Slavia Sofia
18 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 1
Arda
Page 1 of 6

Slavia Sofia

(Away)
10 Aug
Botev Vratsa
0 : 3
Slavia Sofia
31 Jul
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1
Lok. Sofia
24 Jul
Arda
1 : 0
Slavia Sofia
20 Jul
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia
11 Jul
Slavia Sofia
7 : 2
Montana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets 5 5 0 0 10:3 15
2 CSKA Sofia 5 4 1 0 13:3 13
3 CSKA 1948 Sofia 5 4 1 0 13:6 13
4 Levski Sofia 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
5 Arda 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
6 Botev Plovdiv 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
7 Spartak Varna 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
8 Slavia Sofia 4 1 2 1 4:2 5
9 Septemvri Sofia 5 1 1 3 3:9 4
10 Dunav Ruse 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
11 Lok. Plovdiv 5 1 0 4 3:7 3
12 Lok. Sofia 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
13 Cherno More 5 0 1 4 4:12 1
14 Botev Vratsa 5 0 1 4 3:13 1
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