Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ardagger vs Retz

Austria Austria

Niederosterreich
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Niederosterreich game between Ardagger and Retz finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Retz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Ardagger
20%
Draws
42%
Retz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Retz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Retz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ardagger's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ardagger Clean Sheet 10%
Retz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ardagger Retz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 12 5
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Niederosterreich
Ardagger vs Retz
1:3
Apr 12, 2025 Niederosterreich
Retz vs Ardagger
3:0
Sep 24, 2024 Niederosterreich
Ardagger vs Retz
2:1
May 27, 2023 Niederosterreich
Ardagger vs Retz
2:1
Oct 22, 2022 Niederosterreich
Retz vs Ardagger
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ardagger 38 / 100
Retz 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ardagger Retz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ardagger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Retz let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Ardagger found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Ardagger went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ardagger VS Retz
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ardagger

(Home)
18 Sept
Ardagger
5 : 0
Wieselburg
11 Sept
Zwettl
0 : 0
Ardagger
04 Sept
Ardagger
2 : 2
SCU Kilb
30 Aug
St. Peter in der Au
2 : 4
Ardagger
21 Aug
Ardagger
1 : 3
Retz
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Retz

(Away)
18 Sept
Ebreichsdorf
4 : 2
Retz
12 Sept
Retz
3 : 1
St. Polten (Am)
05 Sept
ASK Ybbs
1 : 0
Retz
29 Aug
Retz
3 : 1
Hohenau
21 Aug
Ardagger
1 : 3
Retz
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