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Ardal vs Fana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Fosse-Iversen F.
71' Event
Hovland T.
73' Event
Mittet E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 2024 game between Ardal and Fana finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ardal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ardal
15%
Draws
49%
Fana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Fana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ardal a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Ardal Clean Sheet 12%
Fana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ardal Fana
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 7 22
Draws 1 4
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 2.07 3.03
Goals Conceded 3.47 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Ardal vs Fana
2:1
May 16, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Fana vs Ardal
5:0
Sep 18, 2021 Division 3 - Group 4
Fana vs Ardal
3:0
Oct 17, 2020 Division 3 - Group 4
Fana vs Ardal
0:0
Sep 19, 2020 Division 3 - Group 4
Fana vs Ardal
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ardal Compare

Top Goalscorer Hovland T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mittet E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Fana Compare

Top Goalscorer Fosse-Iversen F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ardal 40 / 100
Fana 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ardal Fana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ardal's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Fana conceded in 77% of 39 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Ardal has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fana
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ardal

(Home)
27 Oct
Ardal
0 : 4
Sandviken
20 Oct
Askoy
3 : 0
Ardal
05 Oct
Ardal
11 : 2
Asane 2
28 Sept
Djerv 1919
3 : 4
Ardal
21 Sept
Ardal
6 : 1
Floro
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Fana

(Away)
05 Oct
Fana
5 : 2
Asane 2
26 Sept
V. Haugesund
3 : 2
Fana
19 Sept
Forde
0 : 3
Fana
12 Sept
Fana
3 : 2
OS TF
05 Sept
Stord
3 : 5
Fana
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