Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ardal vs Stord

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Hovland T.
37' Event
Ekeland R. B.
(Penalty)
39' Event
Laegreid K.

AI Match Summary

Stord in this Division 3 - Group 1 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stord.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ardal
20%
Draws
29%
Stord
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ardal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stord lately — more wins on the board than Ardal.
  • Win probability leans Ardal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Ardal Clean Sheet 17%
Stord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ardal Stord
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 11
Draws 1 11
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 2.07 2.18
Goals Conceded 3.47 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Stord vs Ardal
3:3
Jun 8, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Ardal vs Stord
3:4
Oct 23, 2021 Division 3 - Group 4
Stord vs Ardal
5:2
Oct 24, 2020 Division 3 - Group 4
Stord vs Ardal
0:0
Sep 19, 2020 Division 3 - Group 4
Stord vs Ardal
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ardal Compare

Top Goalscorer Hovland T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Laegreid K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Stord Compare

Top Goalscorer Valvatne M. D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hogas S. K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ardal 84 / 100
Stord 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ardal Stord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ardal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stord let in goals in 88% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ardal found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Ardal has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Stord
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ardal

(Home)
27 Oct
Ardal
0 : 4
Sandviken
20 Oct
Askoy
3 : 0
Ardal
05 Oct
Ardal
11 : 2
Asane 2
28 Sept
Djerv 1919
3 : 4
Ardal
21 Sept
Ardal
6 : 1
Floro
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Stord

(Away)
17 Aug
Stord
2 : 2
Asane 2
08 Aug
OS TF
8 : 2
Stord
03 Aug
Brann 2
1 : 1
Stord
25 Jul
Stord
0 : 4
Askoy
27 Jun
Sogndal 2
0 : 2
Stord
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