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Ardal vs Vik IL

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 8 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 8 2012 game between Ardal and Vik IL finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ardal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Ardal
15%
Draws
26%
Vik IL
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ardal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Ardal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ardal a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Ardal Clean Sheet 10%
Vik IL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ardal Vik IL
Matches Played 41 32
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 25 21
Goals Scored 2.29 1.81
Goals Conceded 3.24 3.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2013 Division 3 - Group 8
Ardal vs Vik IL
3:4
Jun 15, 2013 Division 3 - Group 8
Vik IL vs Ardal
1:1
Sep 8, 2012 Division 3 - Group 8
Vik IL vs Ardal
2:1
May 16, 2012 Division 3 - Group 8
Ardal vs Vik IL
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ardal 83 / 100
Vik IL 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ardal Vik IL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ardal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vik IL has conceded goals in 97% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Ardal found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (41 games).

Recent resilience: Ardal stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ardal VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
3.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ardal

(Home)
27 Oct
Ardal
0 : 4
Sandviken
20 Oct
Askoy
3 : 0
Ardal
05 Oct
Ardal
11 : 2
Asane 2
28 Sept
Djerv 1919
3 : 4
Ardal
21 Sept
Ardal
6 : 1
Floro
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Vik IL

(Away)
19 Oct
Voss
5 : 0
Vik IL
12 Oct
Vik IL
1 : 1
Sogndal 2
05 Oct
Ardal
3 : 4
Vik IL
28 Sept
Vik IL
1 : 8
Floro
21 Sept
Bjarg
3 : 0
Vik IL
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