Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2015/2016

Ardglass

3 - 1

Killyleagh Youth

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Ardglass advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Ardglass

15%

Draws

42%

Killyleagh Youth

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ardglass

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Killyleagh Youth come out ahead of Ardglass on wins alone.
42% — that's where the model lands on Killyleagh Youth taking it.
Killyleagh Youth arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Ardglass, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 90%

Over 3.5 Goals 87%

Over 4.5 Goals 39%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%

Ardglass Clean Sheet 10%

Killyleagh Youth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ardglass	Killyleagh Youth
Matches Played	10	22
Wins	6	12
Draws	0	0
Losses	4	10
Goals Scored	2.5	2.23
Goals Conceded	2.4	2
Expected Goals (xG)	2.46	2.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2015 Irish Cup

Ardglass vs Killyleagh Youth

3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ardglass 14 / 100

Killyleagh Youth 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ardglass Killyleagh Youth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Killyleagh Youth Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ardglass scored in 90% of their last 10 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Killyleagh Youth conceded in 73% of 22 recent games.

Ardglass went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ardglass VS Killyleagh Youth

2.43 Goals Scored 2.25

2.86 Goals Conceded 2.5

100% Over 1.5 100%

100% Over 2.5 88%

86% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Ardglass

(Home)

01 Oct

Crewe

5 : 1

Ardglass

05 Dec

Lurgan Celtic

4 : 0

Ardglass

07 Nov

Comber Rec

3 : 4

Ardglass

03 Oct

Ardglass

3 : 1

Killyleagh Youth

22 Aug

Saintfield

1 : 2

Ardglass

Page 1 of 2

Killyleagh Youth

(Away)

07 Jul

Killyleagh Youth

3 : 2

Portadown

02 Nov

Hanover

3 : 2

Killyleagh Youth

28 Sept

Killyleagh Youth

1 : 0

Downshire Y.M.

17 Aug

Rosario Youth

0 : 1

Killyleagh Youth

29 Sept

Killyleagh Youth

2 : 3

Crumlin Star

Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Moyola -

Lisburn Rangers 3

Dromore Amateurs 0

Bloomfield 1

Desertmartin 4

Ballywalter Recreation 4

Iveagh Utd 2

Foundry 0

Tandragee 1

TBD -

Armagh -

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Dergview -

Newtowne FC 5

Dungiven 1

TBD -

Groomsport -

Newcastle 3

Ballynahinch Olympic 2

Colin Valley 1

Dromara 2

TBD -

Institute -

Immaculata 2

Bangor Old Boys 1

Laurelvale 1

Dunmurry Y.M. 8

Rathcoole 3

Ballymacash 2

Craigavon City 3

Lower Maze 4

TBD -

Dundela -

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glebe -

TBD -

Wakehurst -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Dollingstown -

TBD -

Annagh -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

Ardglass 2

Saintfield 1

Bryansburn 2

Killyleagh Youth 3

Malachians 1

Grove 0

Windmill 0

Comber Rec 3

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 1

Lurgan Town Boys 0

Oxford Sunnyside 2

Rosario Youth 7

Rathfern Rangers 4

Richhill 2

Ballynahinch United 2

Valley Rangers 4

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Ards -

TBD -

Donegal -

TBD -

Glentoran -

PSNI -

TBD -

Newington FC -

Queens University -

TBD -

Tobermore -

Larne -

TBD -

Limavady -

Trojans 2

Islandmagee 1

Orangefield Old Boys' 1

Derriaghy 4

Seapatrick 1

Killymoon 0

Portaferry Rovers 0

Banbridge Rangers 3

TBD -

Loughgall -

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Crumlin United 3

Nortel 2

TBD -

Seagoe -

Moneyslane FC 2

Barn 1

Chimney 3

Downshire Y.M. 4

TBD -

Banbridge -

Oxford Stars -

TBD -

Larne Technical Old Boys -

Shankill 4

Donard 2

Markethill 1

St. Patricks Young 2

St. Marys 3

Fivemiletown 2

TBD -

Downpatrick -

Strabane Athletic 11

Kilmore Rec 0

East Belfast 1

Ards Rangers 2

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Dundonald 3

Broomhill 2

Drumaness 1

Dunloy 4

Newry City 5

Ardstraw 1

Shorts 0

Crumlin Star 3

Dungannon -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Rathfriland Rangers -

TBD -

Newbuildings 2

Crewe 3

Brantwood 2

Magherafelt 1

Ballynure Old Boys 1

Sirocco 2

Dunmurry Rec -

TBD -

Ballymoney 1

Hanover 5

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3

Mossley FC 1

U. U. Jordanstown 1

Abbey Villa 4

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/128-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Moyola -

Lisburn Rangers 2

Desertmartin 1

Ballywalter Recreation 0

Tandragee 4

TBD -

Armagh -

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Dergview -

Newtowne FC 4

Groomsport 1

Newcastle 1

Dromara 2

TBD -

Institute -

Immaculata 10

Dunmurry Y.M. 0

Rathcoole 1

Lower Maze 2

TBD -

Dundela -

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glebe -

TBD -

Wakehurst -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Dollingstown -

TBD -

Annagh -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

Ardglass 3

Killyleagh Youth 1

Malachians 0

Comber Rec 1

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 2

Rosario Youth 1

Rathfern Rangers 1

Valley Rangers 3

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Ards -

TBD -

Donegal -

TBD -

Glentoran -

PSNI -

TBD -

Newington FC -

Queens University -

TBD -

Tobermore -

Larne -

TBD -

Limavady -

Trojans 6

Derriaghy 1

Seapatrick 0

Banbridge Rangers 2

TBD -

Loughgall -

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Crumlin United 9

Seagoe 1

Moneyslane FC 2

Downshire Y.M. 4

TBD -

Banbridge -

Oxford Stars 3

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

Shankill 1

St. Patricks Young 4

St. Marys 3

Downpatrick 1

Strabane Athletic 1

Ards Rangers 4

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Dundonald 10

Dunloy 2

Newry City 1

Crumlin Star 2

Dungannon -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Rathfriland Rangers 1

Crewe 0

Brantwood 2

Sirocco 3

Dunmurry Rec 5

Hanover 3

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1

Abbey Villa 3

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/64-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Moyola -

Lisburn Rangers 3

Tandragee 0

TBD -

Armagh -

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Dergview -

Newtowne FC 3

Dromara 2

TBD -

Institute -

Immaculata 4

Lower Maze 2

TBD -

Dundela -

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glebe -

TBD -

Wakehurst -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Dollingstown -

TBD -

Annagh -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

Ardglass 4

Comber Rec 3

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 2

Valley Rangers 0

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Ards -

TBD -

Donegal -

TBD -

Glentoran -

PSNI -

TBD -

Newington FC -

Queens University -

TBD -

Tobermore -

Larne -

TBD -

Limavady -

Trojans 5

Banbridge Rangers 1

TBD -

Loughgall -

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Crumlin United 3

Downshire Y.M. 2

TBD -

Banbridge -

Oxford Stars 1

St. Patricks Young 0

St. Marys 1

Ards Rangers 4

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Dundonald 0

Crumlin Star 5

Dungannon -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Sirocco 2

Dunmurry Rec 1

Abbey Villa 2

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/32-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portstewart 3

Moyola 1

Lisburn Rangers 0

Armagh 3

Sport & Leisure 6

Dergview 1

Newtowne FC 1

Institute 2

Immaculata 2

Dundela 0

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glebe 1

Wakehurst 2

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Knockbreda 3

Lisburn Distillery 2

Dollingstown 1

Annagh 2

Bangor FC 5

Coagh Utd 0

Ardglass 0

Lurgan Celtic 4

Glenavon -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 2

Harland & Wolff 3

Ards 7

Donegal 0

TBD -

Glentoran -

PSNI 2

Newington FC 1

Queens University 1

Tobermore 2

Larne 2

Limavady 0

Trojans 1

Loughgall 2

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Crumlin United 3

Banbridge 4

Oxford Stars 3

Ards Rangers 2

Ballyclare 0

Crumlin Star 1

Dungannon -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Abbey Villa 0

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/16-finals

Linfield 2

Ballymena 1

Portstewart 2

Armagh 3

Sport & Leisure 3

Institute 2

Immaculata 0

Cliftonville 2

Portadown 6

Wakehurst 1

Ballinamallard 2

Coleraine 3

Knockbreda 5

Annagh 1

Bangor FC 1

Lurgan Celtic 2

Glenavon 4

Harland & Wolff 1

Ards 1

Glentoran 4

PSNI 2

Tobermore 0

Larne 2

Loughgall 5

Carrick Rangers 2

Banbridge 0

Oxford Stars 2

Crumlin Star 3

Dungannon 4

Warrenpoint 3

Rathfriland Rangers 0

Crusaders 3

1/8-finals

Linfield 7

Armagh 0

Sport & Leisure 0

Cliftonville 4

Portadown 3

Coleraine 1

Knockbreda 0

Lurgan Celtic 1

Glenavon 4

Glentoran 1

PSNI 0

Loughgall 2

Carrick Rangers 1

Crumlin Star 0

Dungannon 1

Crusaders 3

Quarter-finals

Linfield 3

Cliftonville 0

Portadown 2

Lurgan Celtic 3

Glenavon 2

Loughgall 1

Carrick Rangers 0

Crusaders 3

Semi-finals

Linfield 3

Lurgan Celtic 0

Glenavon 4

Crusaders 3

Final

Linfield 0

Glenavon 2

Ardglass vs Killyleagh Youth

Northern Ireland

Ardglass

Killyleagh Youth

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Ardglass

Killyleagh Youth

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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