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Ards Rangers vs Foundry

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ards Rangers in this Irish Cup 2011/2012 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ards Rangers
6%
Draws
90%
Foundry
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Foundry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ards Rangers lately — more wins on the board than Foundry.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Foundry taking it.
  • Ards Rangers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ards Rangers, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Ards Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Foundry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ards Rangers Foundry
Matches Played 29 20
Wins 14 10
Draws 1 0
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 2.5 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2011 Irish Cup
Ards Rangers vs Foundry
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ards Rangers 10 / 100
Foundry 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ards Rangers Foundry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YHK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ards Rangers's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Foundry has conceded goals in 90% of their last 20 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Foundry's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ards Rangers VS Foundry
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ards Rangers

(Home)
15 Jul
Ards Rangers
1 : 1
Ballymacash
28 Jun
Ards Rangers
1 : 2
Bangor FC
20 Jul
Ards Rangers
0 : 4
Ards
08 Jan
Ballinamallard
2 : 0
Ards Rangers
17 Aug
Wakehurst
3 : 1
Ards Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Foundry

(Away)
28 Sept
Greenisland
2 : 0
Foundry
17 Aug
Foundry
3 : 1
Bloomfield
29 Sept
Islandmagee
2 : 1
Foundry
18 Aug
Foundry
4 : 3
Aquinas
02 Dec
Lisburn Distillery
3 : 1
Foundry
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Crusaders-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Harland & Wolff-
TBD-
TBD-
Warrenpoint-
Portadown-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Glenavon-
Ballinamallard-
TBD-
TBD-
Tobermore-
Wakehurst-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundela-
Larne Technical Old Boys2
Downpatrick0
Islandmagee1
Rathfriland Rangers2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Donegal-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Limavady-
TBD-
TBD-
Institute-
Ards-
TBD-
TBD-
Annagh-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cliftonville-
Newington FC4
Sirocco3
TBD-
Glebe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Glentoran-
Larne-
TBD-
TBD-
PSNI-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dungannon-
Newry City-
TBD-
TBD-
Sport & Leisure-
Immaculata2
Crumlin Star0
TBD-
Banbridge-
Bangor FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Portstewart-
Iveagh Utd2
Wellington Rec1
TBD-
Ballymoney-
Derriaghy1
Ballynahinch United0
TBD-
Queens University-
Knockbreda-
TBD-
TBD-
Dergview-
Lisburn Distillery-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballymena-
Coagh Utd-
TBD-
Mountjoy0
Banbridge Rangers3
Chimney-
TBD-
TBD-
Loughgall-
Dunmurry Rec4
Bangor Old Boys0
Foundry1
Ards Rangers3
Armagh-
TBD-
Dromara1
Newbuildings6
Carrick Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Moyola-
TBD-
TBD-
Killymoon-
Ballyclare-
TBD-
TBD-
Lurgan Celtic-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Linfield-
1/32-finals
Crusaders-
TBD-
Harland & Wolff0
Warrenpoint1
Portadown-
TBD-
TBD-
Glenavon-
Ballinamallard3
Tobermore1
Wakehurst0
Dundela2
Larne Technical Old Boys6
Rathfriland Rangers1
TBD-
Coleraine-
Donegal-
TBD-
Limavady0
Institute2
Ards3
Annagh0
TBD-
Cliftonville-
Newington FC3
Glebe0
TBD-
Glentoran-
Larne3
PSNI0
TBD-
Dungannon-
Newry City6
Sport & Leisure1
Immaculata1
Banbridge4
Bangor FC3
Portstewart0
Iveagh Utd1
Ballymoney4
Derriaghy2
Queens University0
Knockbreda1
Dergview5
Lisburn Distillery-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballymena-
Coagh Utd1
Banbridge Rangers0
Chimney0
Loughgall5
Dunmurry Rec3
Ards Rangers2
Armagh0
Newbuildings3
Carrick Rangers-
TBD-
Moyola1
Killymoon3
Ballyclare2
Lurgan Celtic1
TBD-
Linfield-
1/16-finals
Crusaders3
Warrenpoint0
Portadown1
Glenavon2
Ballinamallard3
Dundela0
Larne Technical Old Boys2
Coleraine3
Donegal2
Institute1
Ards0
Cliftonville2
Newington FC1
Glentoran0
Larne1
Dungannon3
Newry City1
Banbridge0
Bangor FC2
Ballymoney4
Derriaghy1
Dergview0
Lisburn Distillery1
Ballymena2
Coagh Utd4
Loughgall3
Dunmurry Rec1
Newbuildings4
Carrick Rangers3
Killymoon1
Ballyclare1
Linfield7
1/8-finals
Crusaders4
Glenavon0
Ballinamallard0
Coleraine3
Donegal1
Cliftonville0
Newington FC0
Dungannon3
Newry City6
Ballymoney1
Derriaghy1
Ballymena3
Coagh Utd5
Newbuildings2
Carrick Rangers1
Linfield5
Quarter-finals
Crusaders2
Coleraine0
Donegal1
Dungannon2
Newry City3
Ballymena0
Coagh Utd0
Linfield4
Semi-finals
Crusaders1
Dungannon0
Newry City0
Linfield7
Final
Crusaders1
Linfield4