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Ards Rangers vs Foundry

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ards Rangers in this Irish Cup 2011/2012 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Ards Rangers
15%
Draws
73%
Foundry
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Foundry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ards Rangers lately — more wins on the board than Foundry.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Foundry taking it.
  • Ards Rangers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ards Rangers, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Ards Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Foundry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ards Rangers Foundry
Matches Played 29 20
Wins 14 10
Draws 1 0
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 2.86 2.65
Goals Conceded 2.24 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2011 Irish Cup
Ards Rangers vs Foundry
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ards Rangers 10 / 100
Foundry 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ards Rangers Foundry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Foundry Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ards Rangers's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Foundry has conceded goals in 90% of their last 20 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Foundry's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ards Rangers VS Foundry
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ards Rangers

(Home)
15 Jul
Ards Rangers
1 : 1
Ballymacash
28 Jun
Ards Rangers
1 : 2
Bangor FC
20 Jul
Ards Rangers
0 : 4
Ards
08 Jan
Ballinamallard
2 : 0
Ards Rangers
17 Aug
Wakehurst
3 : 1
Ards Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Foundry

(Away)
28 Sept
Greenisland
2 : 0
Foundry
17 Aug
Foundry
3 : 1
Bloomfield
29 Sept
Islandmagee
2 : 1
Foundry
18 Aug
Foundry
4 : 3
Aquinas
02 Dec
Lisburn Distillery
3 : 1
Foundry
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Wakehurst -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Downpatrick 0
Islandmagee 1
Rathfriland Rangers 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Newington FC 4
Sirocco 3
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
Immaculata 2
Crumlin Star 0
TBD -
Banbridge -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Iveagh Utd 2
Wellington Rec 1
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Derriaghy 1
Ballynahinch United 0
TBD -
Queens University -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
Mountjoy 0
Banbridge Rangers 3
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Dunmurry Rec 4
Bangor Old Boys 0
Foundry 1
Ards Rangers 3
Armagh -
TBD -
Dromara 1
Newbuildings 6
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
1/32-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff 0
Warrenpoint 1
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Ballinamallard 3
Tobermore 1
Wakehurst 0
Dundela 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 6
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Coleraine -
Donegal -
TBD -
Limavady 0
Institute 2
Ards 3
Annagh 0
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Newington FC 3
Glebe 0
TBD -
Glentoran -
Larne 3
PSNI 0
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City 6
Sport & Leisure 1
Immaculata 1
Banbridge 4
Bangor FC 3
Portstewart 0
Iveagh Utd 1
Ballymoney 4
Derriaghy 2
Queens University 0
Knockbreda 1
Dergview 5
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Coagh Utd 1
Banbridge Rangers 0
Chimney 0
Loughgall 5
Dunmurry Rec 3
Ards Rangers 2
Armagh 0
Newbuildings 3
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Moyola 1
Killymoon 3
Ballyclare 2
Lurgan Celtic 1
TBD -
Linfield -
1/16-finals
Crusaders 3
Warrenpoint 0
Portadown 1
Glenavon 2
Ballinamallard 3
Dundela 0
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Coleraine 3
Donegal 2
Institute 1
Ards 0
Cliftonville 2
Newington FC 1
Glentoran 0
Larne 1
Dungannon 3
Newry City 1
Banbridge 0
Bangor FC 2
Ballymoney 4
Derriaghy 1
Dergview 0
Lisburn Distillery 1
Ballymena 2
Coagh Utd 4
Loughgall 3
Dunmurry Rec 1
Newbuildings 4
Carrick Rangers 3
Killymoon 1
Ballyclare 1
Linfield 7
1/8-finals
Crusaders 4
Glenavon 0
Ballinamallard 0
Coleraine 3
Donegal 1
Cliftonville 0
Newington FC 0
Dungannon 3
Newry City 6
Ballymoney 1
Derriaghy 1
Ballymena 3
Coagh Utd 5
Newbuildings 2
Carrick Rangers 1
Linfield 5
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 2
Coleraine 0
Donegal 1
Dungannon 2
Newry City 3
Ballymena 0
Coagh Utd 0
Linfield 4
Semi-finals
Crusaders 1
Dungannon 0
Newry City 0
Linfield 7
Final
Crusaders 1
Linfield 4