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Ards vs Donegal

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2015/2016
Ards Logo

Ards

2 - 1
FT
Donegal Logo

Donegal

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ards in this NIFL Championship 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ards.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ards
15%
Draws
0%
Donegal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ards

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ards lately — more wins on the board than Donegal.
  • Ards are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ards have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ards Clean Sheet 20%
Donegal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ards Donegal
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 19 2
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 1.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.13 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2016 Club Friendly
Donegal vs Ards
0:6
Mar 19, 2016 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Donegal
2:1
Dec 5, 2015 Irish Cup
Ards vs Donegal
7:0
Aug 15, 2015 NIFL Championship
Donegal vs Ards
2:3
Apr 4, 2015 NIFL Championship
Donegal vs Ards
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ards 85 / 100
Donegal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ards Donegal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Donegal let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Donegal has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Ards scored in 76% of their last 38 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ards VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ards

(Home)
08 Aug
Glenavon
1 : 3
Ards
28 Jul
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0
Ards
16 Jul
Bangor FC
2 : 0
Ards
25 Apr
Warrenpoint
0 : 1
Ards
18 Apr
Institute
3 : 1
Ards
Page 1 of 8

Donegal

(Away)
17 Aug
Crewe
:
Donegal
30 Sept
Crumlin United
2 : 0
Donegal
29 Aug
Glenavon
5 : 1
Donegal
30 Aug
Portadown
6 : 1
Donegal
20 Aug
Donegal
1 : 3
Oxford Stars
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ards 26 17 3 6 59:35 54
2 Harland & Wolff 26 15 6 5 54:28 51
3 Armagh 26 13 5 8 64:36 44
4 Knockbreda 26 12 7 7 48:32 43
5 Institute 26 12 6 8 40:20 42
6 Larne 26 12 6 8 64:45 42
7 Lurgan Celtic 26 11 6 9 40:40 39
8 Ballyclare 26 9 10 7 44:40 37
9 Loughgall 26 10 6 10 45:54 36
10 Bangor FC 26 10 5 11 44:40 35
11 Dergview 26 9 8 9 41:40 35
12 Annagh 26 7 6 13 37:57 27
13 Donegal 26 2 4 20 34:80 10
14 Lisburn Distillery 26 2 4 20 18:85 10
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2015/2016 (Relegation)
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2015/2016 (Relegation)