Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2015/2016

Ards

7 - 0

Donegal

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 7-0, with Ards advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Ards

15%

Draws

Donegal

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ards

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Ards come out ahead of Donegal on wins alone.
Ards are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Ards have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Ards, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Ards have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Ards Clean Sheet 20%

Donegal Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ards	Donegal
Matches Played	39	30
Wins	20	2
Draws	6	3
Losses	13	25
Goals Scored	1.95	1.07
Goals Conceded	1.1	3.4
Expected Goals (xG)	1.29	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2016 Club Friendly

Donegal vs Ards

0:6

Mar 19, 2016 NIFL Championship

Ards vs Donegal

2:1

Dec 5, 2015 Irish Cup

Ards vs Donegal

7:0

Aug 15, 2015 NIFL Championship

Donegal vs Ards

2:3

Apr 4, 2015 NIFL Championship

Donegal vs Ards

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ards 85 / 100

Donegal 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ards Donegal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ards Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Donegal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Donegal's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Ards found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (39 games).

Scoring Trends

Ards VS -

1.38 Goals Scored 0

0.75 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ards

(Home)

26 Sept

Ards

0 : 1

Strabane Athletic

19 Sept

Moyola

0 : 0

Ards

12 Sept

Ards

1 : 0

Rathfriland Rangers

04 Sept

Annagh

2 : 1

Ards

28 Aug

Ards

0 : 3

Queens University

Page 1 of 8

Donegal

(Away)

17 Aug

Crewe

Donegal

30 Sept

Crumlin United

2 : 0

Donegal

29 Aug

Glenavon

5 : 1

Donegal

30 Aug

Portadown

6 : 1

Donegal

20 Aug

Donegal

1 : 3

Oxford Stars

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Moyola -

Lisburn Rangers 3

Dromore Amateurs 0

Bloomfield 1

Desertmartin 4

Ballywalter Recreation 4

Iveagh Utd 2

Foundry 0

Tandragee 1

TBD -

Armagh -

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Dergview -

Newtowne FC 5

Dungiven 1

TBD -

Groomsport -

Newcastle 3

Ballynahinch Olympic 2

Colin Valley 1

Dromara 2

TBD -

Institute -

Immaculata 2

Bangor Old Boys 1

Laurelvale 1

Dunmurry Y.M. 8

Rathcoole 3

Ballymacash 2

Craigavon City 3

Lower Maze 4

TBD -

Dundela -

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glebe -

TBD -

Wakehurst -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Dollingstown -

TBD -

Annagh -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

Ardglass 2

Saintfield 1

Bryansburn 2

Killyleagh Youth 3

Malachians 1

Grove 0

Windmill 0

Comber Rec 3

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 1

Lurgan Town Boys 0

Oxford Sunnyside 2

Rosario Youth 7

Rathfern Rangers 4

Richhill 2

Ballynahinch United 2

Valley Rangers 4

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Ards -

TBD -

Donegal -

TBD -

Glentoran -

PSNI -

TBD -

Newington FC -

Queens University -

TBD -

Tobermore -

Larne -

TBD -

Limavady -

Trojans 2

Islandmagee 1

Orangefield Old Boys' 1

Derriaghy 4

Seapatrick 1

Killymoon 0

Portaferry Rovers 0

Banbridge Rangers 3

TBD -

Loughgall -

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Crumlin United 3

Nortel 2

TBD -

Seagoe -

Moneyslane FC 2

Barn 1

Chimney 3

Downshire Y.M. 4

TBD -

Banbridge -

Oxford Stars -

TBD -

Larne Technical Old Boys -

Shankill 4

Donard 2

Markethill 1

St. Patricks Young 2

St. Marys 3

Fivemiletown 2

TBD -

Downpatrick -

Strabane Athletic 11

Kilmore Rec 0

East Belfast 1

Ards Rangers 2

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Dundonald 3

Broomhill 2

Drumaness 1

Dunloy 4

Newry City 5

Ardstraw 1

Shorts 0

Crumlin Star 3

Dungannon -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Rathfriland Rangers -

TBD -

Newbuildings 2

Crewe 3

Brantwood 2

Magherafelt 1

Ballynure Old Boys 1

Sirocco 2

Dunmurry Rec -

TBD -

Ballymoney 1

Hanover 5

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3

Mossley FC 1

U. U. Jordanstown 1

Abbey Villa 4

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/128-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Moyola -

Lisburn Rangers 2

Desertmartin 1

Ballywalter Recreation 0

Tandragee 4

TBD -

Armagh -

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Dergview -

Newtowne FC 4

Groomsport 1

Newcastle 1

Dromara 2

TBD -

Institute -

Immaculata 10

Dunmurry Y.M. 0

Rathcoole 1

Lower Maze 2

TBD -

Dundela -

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glebe -

TBD -

Wakehurst -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Dollingstown -

TBD -

Annagh -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

Ardglass 3

Killyleagh Youth 1

Malachians 0

Comber Rec 1

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 2

Rosario Youth 1

Rathfern Rangers 1

Valley Rangers 3

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Ards -

TBD -

Donegal -

TBD -

Glentoran -

PSNI -

TBD -

Newington FC -

Queens University -

TBD -

Tobermore -

Larne -

TBD -

Limavady -

Trojans 6

Derriaghy 1

Seapatrick 0

Banbridge Rangers 2

TBD -

Loughgall -

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Crumlin United 9

Seagoe 1

Moneyslane FC 2

Downshire Y.M. 4

TBD -

Banbridge -

Oxford Stars 3

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

Shankill 1

St. Patricks Young 4

St. Marys 3

Downpatrick 1

Strabane Athletic 1

Ards Rangers 4

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Dundonald 10

Dunloy 2

Newry City 1

Crumlin Star 2

Dungannon -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Rathfriland Rangers 1

Crewe 0

Brantwood 2

Sirocco 3

Dunmurry Rec 5

Hanover 3

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1

Abbey Villa 3

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/64-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Moyola -

Lisburn Rangers 3

Tandragee 0

TBD -

Armagh -

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Dergview -

Newtowne FC 3

Dromara 2

TBD -

Institute -

Immaculata 4

Lower Maze 2

TBD -

Dundela -

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glebe -

TBD -

Wakehurst -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Dollingstown -

TBD -

Annagh -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

Ardglass 4

Comber Rec 3

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 2

Valley Rangers 0

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Ards -

TBD -

Donegal -

TBD -

Glentoran -

PSNI -

TBD -

Newington FC -

Queens University -

TBD -

Tobermore -

Larne -

TBD -

Limavady -

Trojans 5

Banbridge Rangers 1

TBD -

Loughgall -

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Crumlin United 3

Downshire Y.M. 2

TBD -

Banbridge -

Oxford Stars 1

St. Patricks Young 0

St. Marys 1

Ards Rangers 4

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Dundonald 0

Crumlin Star 5

Dungannon -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Sirocco 2

Dunmurry Rec 1

Abbey Villa 2

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/32-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portstewart 3

Moyola 1

Lisburn Rangers 0

Armagh 3

Sport & Leisure 6

Dergview 1

Newtowne FC 1

Institute 2

Immaculata 2

Dundela 0

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glebe 1

Wakehurst 2

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Knockbreda 3

Lisburn Distillery 2

Dollingstown 1

Annagh 2

Bangor FC 5

Coagh Utd 0

Ardglass 0

Lurgan Celtic 4

Glenavon -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 2

Harland & Wolff 3

Ards 7

Donegal 0

TBD -

Glentoran -

PSNI 2

Newington FC 1

Queens University 1

Tobermore 2

Larne 2

Limavady 0

Trojans 1

Loughgall 2

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Crumlin United 3

Banbridge 4

Oxford Stars 3

Ards Rangers 2

Ballyclare 0

Crumlin Star 1

Dungannon -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Abbey Villa 0

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/16-finals

Linfield 2

Ballymena 1

Portstewart 2

Armagh 3

Sport & Leisure 3

Institute 2

Immaculata 0

Cliftonville 2

Portadown 6

Wakehurst 1

Ballinamallard 2

Coleraine 3

Knockbreda 5

Annagh 1

Bangor FC 1

Lurgan Celtic 2

Glenavon 4

Harland & Wolff 1

Ards 1

Glentoran 4

PSNI 2

Tobermore 0

Larne 2

Loughgall 5

Carrick Rangers 2

Banbridge 0

Oxford Stars 2

Crumlin Star 3

Dungannon 4

Warrenpoint 3

Rathfriland Rangers 0

Crusaders 3

1/8-finals

Linfield 7

Armagh 0

Sport & Leisure 0

Cliftonville 4

Portadown 3

Coleraine 1

Knockbreda 0

Lurgan Celtic 1

Glenavon 4

Glentoran 1

PSNI 0

Loughgall 2

Carrick Rangers 1

Crumlin Star 0

Dungannon 1

Crusaders 3

Quarter-finals

Linfield 3

Cliftonville 0

Portadown 2

Lurgan Celtic 3

Glenavon 2

Loughgall 1

Carrick Rangers 0

Crusaders 3

Semi-finals

Linfield 3

Lurgan Celtic 0

Glenavon 4

Crusaders 3

Final

Linfield 0

Glenavon 2

Ards vs Donegal

Northern Ireland

Ards

Donegal

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Ards

Donegal

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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