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Ards vs Dundela

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Ards Logo

Ards

2 - 2
FT
Dundela Logo

Dundela

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NIFL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ards
30%
Draws
47%
Dundela
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dundela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ards lately — more wins on the board than Dundela.
  • Model gives Dundela a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ards Clean Sheet 14%
Dundela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ards Dundela
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 5 13
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Dundela
2:2
Apr 4, 2026 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Dundela
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 NIFL Championship
Dundela vs Ards
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 NIFL Championship
Dundela vs Ards
1:4
Aug 29, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Dundela
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ards 27 / 100
Dundela 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ards Dundela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dundela Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dundela has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Ards's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Ards remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ards VS Dundela
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ards

(Home)
26 Sept
Ards
0 : 1
Strabane Athletic
19 Sept
Moyola
0 : 0
Ards
12 Sept
Ards
1 : 0
Rathfriland Rangers
04 Sept
Annagh
2 : 1
Ards
28 Aug
Ards
0 : 3
Queens University
Page 1 of 6

Dundela

(Away)
26 Sept
Armagh
0 : 2
Dundela
18 Sept
Dundela
1 : 1
Strabane Athletic
12 Sept
Newington FC
5 : 5
Dundela
05 Sept
Dundela
3 : 2
Glenavon
28 Aug
Harland & Wolff
2 : 0
Dundela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newington FC 9 6 2 1 24:11 20
2 Annagh 9 6 2 1 23:12 20
3 Glenavon 9 5 2 2 22:13 17
4 Queens University 9 5 1 3 18:7 16
5 Harland & Wolff 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
6 Newry City 9 4 3 2 15:16 15
7 Warrenpoint 9 4 1 4 17:14 13
8 Ballinamallard 9 4 1 4 15:15 13
9 Institute 9 4 1 4 13:17 13
10 Dundela 9 2 5 2 18:18 11
11 Ards 9 3 2 4 11:12 11
12 Moyola 9 3 2 4 10:17 11
13 Loughgall 9 2 4 3 12:18 10
14 Strabane Athletic 9 2 2 5 10:19 8
15 Armagh 9 0 4 5 8:16 4
16 Rathfriland Rangers 9 1 0 8 6:21 3
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)