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Ards vs Dundela

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NIFL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ards
30%
Draws
23%
Dundela
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ards

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ards lately — more wins on the board than Dundela.
  • Model gives Ards a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ards Clean Sheet 19%
Dundela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ards Dundela
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 3
Draws 5 10
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.42 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Dundela
2:2
Apr 4, 2026 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Dundela
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 NIFL Championship
Dundela vs Ards
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 NIFL Championship
Dundela vs Ards
1:4
Aug 29, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Dundela
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ards 49 / 100
Dundela 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ards Dundela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dundela has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Ards's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Ards remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ards VS Dundela
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ards

(Home)
08 Aug
Glenavon
1 : 3
Ards
28 Jul
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0
Ards
16 Jul
Bangor FC
2 : 0
Ards
25 Apr
Warrenpoint
0 : 1
Ards
18 Apr
Institute
3 : 1
Ards
Page 1 of 7

Dundela

(Away)
08 Aug
Dundela
2 : 2
Moyola
01 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 0
Dundela
25 Jul
Dundela
1 : 1
Bangor FC
18 Jul
Dundela
2 : 3
Ballymena
04 Jul
Dundela
3 : 3
Glentoran
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newington FC 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Harland & Wolff 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Ards 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Loughgall 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5 Institute 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Newry City 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Moyola 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
8 Dundela 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
9 Armagh 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Queens University 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Ballinamallard 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
12 Strabane Athletic 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Glenavon 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
14 Rathfriland Rangers 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 Annagh 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
16 Warrenpoint 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)