Sport Picks
Match Events
94'
94'
Scannell E.
105'
105'
Ogedi-Uzokwe J.
1'
1'
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Dungannon advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dungannon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Dungannon carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Dungannon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Dungannon, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ards Clean Sheet 16%
Dungannon Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ards | Dungannon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 10, 2026 Irish Cup
Dungannon vs Ards
3:0
Oct 8, 2025 Irish League Cup
Ards vs Dungannon
1:2
Jan 7, 2023 Irish Cup
Dungannon vs Ards
3:1
Apr 23, 2019 NIFL Premiership
Ards vs Dungannon
1:0
Dec 29, 2018 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Ards
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ards Compare
Top Goalscorer Scannell E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Dungannon Compare
Top Goalscorer Ogedi-Uzokwe J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ards 31 / 100
Dungannon 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ards Dungannon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ards's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Dungannon has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Ards remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ards VS Dungannon
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ards
(Home) 12 Sept
Ards
1 : 0 Rathfriland Rangers
04 Sept
Annagh
2 : 1 Ards
28 Aug
Ards
0 : 3 Queens University
22 Aug
Ards
1 : 2 Loughgall
15 Aug
Warrenpoint
1 : 3 Ards
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Ards
1 : 0 Rathfriland Rangers
28 Aug
Ards
0 : 3 Queens University
22 Aug
Ards
1 : 2 Loughgall
11 Aug
Ards
2 : 2 Dundela
10 Apr
Ards
2 : 1 Armagh
Page 1 of 3
Dungannon
(Away) 15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0 Dungannon
12 Sept
Dungannon
0 : 1 Linfield
05 Sept
Limavady
0 : 2 Dungannon
29 Aug
Cliftonville
0 : 2 Dungannon
22 Aug
Dungannon
2 : 0 Bangor FC
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0 Dungannon
05 Sept
Limavady
0 : 2 Dungannon
29 Aug
Cliftonville
0 : 2 Dungannon
15 Aug
Portadown
0 : 1 Dungannon
01 Aug
Moyola
0 : 3 Dungannon
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Ballymacash 5
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Ballyclare 1
Coagh Utd 2
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Strabane Athletic -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Moyola 5
Portstewart 3
TBD -
Annagh -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Newry City 3
Knockbreda 0
TBD -
Portadown -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Dergview 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Larne -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery 3
Banbridge 2
1/16-finals
Institute 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 3
Ballymacash 1
Cliftonville 4
Coagh Utd 1
Loughgall 2
Strabane Athletic 3
Ards 1
Dungannon 2
Moyola 3
Annagh 0
Dollingstown 0
Coleraine 8
Armagh 3
Carrick Rangers 2
Newry City 1
Portadown 0
Warrenpoint 0
Glenavon 2
Harland & Wolff 6
Dundela 0
Linfield 2
Queens University 0
Ballymena 1
Ballinamallard 0
Newington FC 3
Limavady 1
Dergview 3
Larne 7
Bangor FC 4
Lisburn Distillery 1
1/8-finals
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 1
Cliftonville 5
Strabane Athletic 2
Dungannon 0
Moyola 1
Coleraine 7
Armagh 1
Newry City 1
Glenavon 0
Harland & Wolff 3
Linfield 6
Ballymena 3
Newington FC 0
Larne 2
Bangor FC 1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran 2
Cliftonville 1
Moyola 0
Coleraine 2
Newry City 2
Linfield 3
Ballymena 2
Larne 0
Semi-finals
Glentoran 2
Coleraine 1
Linfield 1
Ballymena 0
Final
Glentoran 0
Linfield 1
