Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ardstraw vs Dundela

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-6, with Dundela advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ardstraw
20%
Draws
29%
Dundela
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ardstraw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ardstraw carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ardstraw's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Ardstraw have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dundela, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Ardstraw Clean Sheet 19%
Dundela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ardstraw Dundela
Matches Played 14 29
Wins 7 5
Draws 0 13
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 3.29 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.93 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2017 Irish Cup
Ardstraw vs Dundela
2:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ardstraw 67 / 100
Dundela 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ardstraw Dundela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ardstraw Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ardstraw's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Dundela's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Ardstraw stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dundela
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ardstraw

(Home)
02 Nov
Ardstraw
1 : 2
Islandmagee
28 Sept
Ardstraw
4 : 1
Wakehurst
17 Aug
Fivemiletown
2 : 3
Ardstraw
29 Sept
Tobermore
5 : 3
Ardstraw
18 Aug
Ardstraw
7 : 0
Dromore Amateurs
Page 1 of 3

Dundela

(Away)
18 Sept
Dundela
1 : 1
Strabane Athletic
12 Sept
Newington FC
5 : 5
Dundela
05 Sept
Dundela
3 : 2
Glenavon
28 Aug
Harland & Wolff
2 : 0
Dundela
22 Aug
Ballinamallard
2 : 1
Dundela
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Coleraine -
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Foundry -
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St. Marys 1
Bryansburn 3
Cookstown Youth -
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Bloomfield 1
Craigavon City 3
Newtowne FC 3
Bangor Amateurs FC 0
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Desertmartin -
Newington FC -
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Lisburn Distillery -
Knockbreda -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation -
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Seapatrick 1
Ballynure Old Boys 4
Islandmagee 4
Fivemiletown 1
Iveagh Utd 0
Ards Rangers 9
Laurelvale 6
Broomhedge 1
Bangor Old Boys 2
Tullyvallen Rangers 3
Downshire Y.M. 3
Malachians 2
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Moyola -
Immaculata 3
Abbey Villa 0
Seagoe 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 12
Rosario Youth -
Ballynahinch United -
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Brantwood -
Valley Rangers 5
Oxford Sunnyside 0
Magherafelt -
Colin Valley -
Donegal -
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Silverwood 2
Crumlin United 3
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Ballinamallard -
Dundela -
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Richhill 2
Ardstraw 10
Windmill 2
St. James' Swifts 1
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Sport & Leisure -
Rathfriland Rangers 8
Barn 3
Dunmurry Y.M. 0
Orangefield Old Boys' 3
Strabane Athletic -
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Newcastle -
Killyleagh Youth 5
Newbuildings 1
Moneyslane FC 1
Sirocco 4
Dunmurry Rec 4
Dromore Amateurs 0
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Tobermore -
Banbridge -
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Cookstown RBL 1
Dromara 2
Dungiven 3
Suffolk 2
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Queens University -
Dergview -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 3
Dollingstown 1
Groomsport 1
Lurgan Town Boys 3
Lisburn Rangers 5
Rathfern Rangers 4
Saintfield 2
Tandragee 4
Portaferry Rovers 3
Ballynahinch Olympic 1
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Mossley FC -
Dunloy 3
Banbridge Rangers 1
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Portstewart -
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Crusaders -
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Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 2
Bangor FC 0
St Luke's 1
Rosemount Rec 3
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3
Comber Rec 2
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U. U. Jordanstown -
St. Patricks Young 2
Lower Maze 1
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Wellington Rec -
Markethill 2
Grove 1
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Annagh -
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Carrick Rangers -
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Dungannon -
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Shankill 4
Ballymacash 3
Bourneview Mill 1
Derriaghy 3
Drumaness 3
Crewe 2
Chimney 2
Hanover 8
Armagh -
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Ballymoney 1
Coagh Utd 6
Oxford Stars 4
Trojans 3
Shorts 1
Crumlin Star 9
PSNI -
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Loughgall -
1/128-finals
Coleraine -
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Foundry 4
Bryansburn 3
Cookstown Youth 6
Craigavon City 7
Newtowne FC 4
Desertmartin 2
Newington FC 0
Lisburn Distillery 3
Knockbreda -
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Institute -
Ballyclare -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation 6
Ballynure Old Boys 3
Islandmagee 1
Ards Rangers 2
Laurelvale 5
Tullyvallen Rangers 2
Downshire Y.M. 1
Moyola 10
Immaculata 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Rosario Youth 4
Brantwood 0
Valley Rangers 4
Colin Valley 1
Donegal 0
Crumlin United 2
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Ballinamallard -
Dundela 6
Ardstraw 2
Windmill 0
Sport & Leisure 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Orangefield Old Boys' 1
Strabane Athletic 1
Newcastle 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
Sirocco 0
Dunmurry Rec 0
Tobermore 7
Banbridge 1
Dromara 0
Dungiven 2
Queens University 7
Dergview -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 7
Lurgan Town Boys 1
Lisburn Rangers 2
Tandragee 3
Portaferry Rovers 2
Mossley FC 0
Dunloy 1
Portstewart 2
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Crusaders -
Newry City -
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Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 3
Rosemount Rec 0
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1
U. U. Jordanstown 2
St. Patricks Young 3
Wellington Rec 2
Markethill 2
Annagh 4
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Linfield -
Glenavon -
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Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
Ards -
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Shankill 2
Derriaghy 1
Drumaness 0
Hanover 2
Armagh 2
Coagh Utd 0
Oxford Stars 0
Crumlin Star 5
PSNI -
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Loughgall -
1/64-finals
Coleraine -
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Foundry 4
Craigavon City 1
Newtowne FC 0
Lisburn Distillery 2
Knockbreda -
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Institute -
Ballyclare -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation 3
Ards Rangers 2
Laurelvale 0
Moyola 5
Immaculata 3
Brantwood 1
Valley Rangers 0
Crumlin United 2
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TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Dundela 2
Sport & Leisure 0
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Newcastle 3
Killyleagh Youth 3
Tobermore 1
Banbridge 1
Queens University 2
Dergview -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 2
Tandragee 1
Portaferry Rovers 1
Portstewart 2
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Crusaders -
Newry City -
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Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 11
U. U. Jordanstown 0
St. Patricks Young 2
Annagh 5
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Linfield -
Glenavon -
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Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
Ards -
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Shankill 3
Hanover 2
Armagh 1
Crumlin Star 2
PSNI -
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Loughgall -
1/32-finals
Coleraine -
TBD -
Foundry 1
Lisburn Distillery 3
Knockbreda -
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Institute -
Ballyclare -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation 0
Moyola 2
Immaculata 4
Crumlin United 2
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Ballinamallard -
Dundela 5
Newcastle 0
Killyleagh Youth 1
Queens University 3
Dergview -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 2
Portstewart 1
TBD -
Crusaders -
Newry City -
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Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 2
Annagh 1
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Linfield -
Glenavon -
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Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
Ards -
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Shankill 0
Crumlin Star 4
PSNI -
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TBD -
Loughgall -
1/16-finals
Coleraine 7
Lisburn Distillery 0
Knockbreda 0
Institute 2
Ballyclare 2
Portadown 1
Lurgan Celtic 1
Glentoran 2
Ballymena 4
Moyola 0
Immaculata 2
Ballinamallard 4
Dundela 1
Queens University 0
Dergview 0
Larne 3
Cliftonville 4
Warrenpoint 3
Maiden City 0
Crusaders 2
Newry City 2
Harland & Wolff 0
Glebe 0
Linfield 5
Glenavon 3
Carrick Rangers 1
Limavady 0
Dungannon 4
Ards 4
Crumlin Star 1
PSNI 1
Loughgall 4
1/8-finals
Coleraine 4
Institute 0
Ballyclare 0
Glentoran 4
Ballymena 3
Ballinamallard 2
Dundela 1
Larne 6
Cliftonville 4
Crusaders 1
Newry City 0
Linfield 1
Glenavon 3
Dungannon 0
Ards 1
Loughgall 2
Quarter-finals
Coleraine 1
Glentoran 0
Ballymena 1
Larne 2
Cliftonville 1
Linfield 0
Glenavon 1
Loughgall 2
Semi-finals
Coleraine 3
Larne 1
Cliftonville 4
Loughgall 1
Final
Coleraine 3
Cliftonville 1